What Are the Dolphins Playoff Chances?
The Dolphins' playoff chances are off the board. Miami spent most of the season with the longest odds to win the AFC according to odds from Hard Rock Bet, and now their odds are off the board after being eliminated from the playoffs.
We will update the Dolphins' odds for next season when they become available.
| 🔮 Dolphins Playoff Chances | OTB |
| 💪 Dolphins Win AFC East | OTB |
| 👑 Dolphins Win AFC | OTB |
| 🏆 Dolphins Win Super Bowl 60 | OTB |
| 📝 Dolphins Projected Win Total | O/U 7.5 (+160/-190) |
There wasn't much optimism for the Dolphins’ 2025 season. The Dolphins were on a five-game winning streak when they fell to the Steelers in Week 15, eliminating them from the playoffs and removing their Dolphins' Super Bowl odds from top sportsbooks such as FanDuel Sportsbook.
Dolphins' 2025 Schedule and Betting Odds
The Dolphins have five primetime games on their 2025 schedule, including some high-stakes matchups early on. In Week 3, they faced the Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football in a key AFC East showdown. The following week, Miami picked up its first win of the season on the road against the Jets on Monday Night Football. In Week 11, the Dolphins took the international stage when they defeated the Washington Commanders in Madrid.
Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 @ Indianapolis Colts | +1.5 ML -108 | L 33-8 |
| Week 2 vs. New England Patriots | -2.5 ML -130 | L 33-27 |
| Week 3 @ Buffalo Bills | +12.5 ML +575 | L 31-21 |
| Week 4 vs. New York Jets | -2.5 ML -155 | W 27-21 |
| Week 5 @ Carolina Panthers | -1.5 ML -120 | L 27-24 |
| Week 6 vs. Los Angeles Chargers | +2.5 ML +130 | L 29-27 |
| Week 7 @ Cleveland Browns | +3 ML +124 | L 31-6 |
| Week 8 @ Atlanta Falcons | +7 ML +295 | W 34-10 |
| Week 9 vs. Baltimore Ravens | +7.5 ML +340 | L 28-6 |
| Week 10 vs. Buffalo Bills | +9.5 ML +360 | W 30-13 |
| Week 11 vs. Washington Commanders | -2.5 ML -148 | W 16-13 |
| Week 12 BYE WEEK | -- | -- |
| Week 13 vs. New Orleans Saints | -6 ML -250 | W 21-17 |
| Week 14 @ New York Jets | -2.5 ML -155 | W 34-10 |
| Week 15 @ Pittsburgh Steelers | +3 ML +145 | L 28-15 |
| Week 16 vs. Cincinnati Bengals | +1.5 ML -108 | TBD |
| Week 17 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 18 @ New England Patriots | +2.5 ML +110 | TBD |
Do the Dolphins Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
No, Miami does not have a chance to make the playoffs this season after being officially eliminated. The Dolphins recorded their eighth loss of the season in Week 15, and their chances of making the playoffs have now faded completely. They’ll focus on closing out the regular season and then turn their attention toward the 2026 draft.
Are the Dolphins Out of the Playoffs?
Yes, the Dolphins are out of the playoffs. Miami was eliminated from playoff contention in Week 15. With a 6–8 record, they are currently projected to hold the 11th overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, though that could change as the season concludes.
Dolphins Playoff Chances: Key Updates January 2026
The Dolphins had high hopes for the 2025 season, but have fallen short with just six wins.
Below, I will provide roster updates throughout the season:
- 📅 December 12: Miami signs CB Isaiah Johnson to the active roster, places LB Caleb Johnson on injured reserve, and fires OLB coach Ryan Crow.
- 📅 December 11: The Dolphins designate C Andrew Meyer to return from injured reserve.
- 📅 November 19: Miami signs CB A.J. Green to the active roster and places CB JuJu Brents on injured reserve.
- 📅 November 12: The Dolphins designate OT Austin Jackson to return from injured reserve.
- 📅 November 2: Miami acquires a 2026 third-round draft pick from Philadelphia in exchange for LB Jaelan Phillips.
- 📅 October 1: The Dolphins place wide receiver Tyreek Hill on the injured reserve list.
- 📅 September 13: Miami places OL Austin Jackson on injured reserve.
- 📅 September 9: The Dolphins sign offensive lineman Cole Strange to the active roster off Cleveland's practice squad and place offensive lineman James Daniels on the injured reserve list.
- 📅 August 27: Miami places OL Liam Eichenberg on the PUP list and C Andrew Meyer and K Jason Sanders on injured reserve.
- 📅 August 10: RB Alexander Mattison suffers a season-ending neck injury in the preseason game against the Bears.
- 📅 August 4: Miami signs TE Chris Myarick after placing TE Jalin Conyers on injured reserve.
- 📅 July 1: The Dolphins acquire TE Darren Waller.
- 📅 June 30: Miami trades CB Jalen Ramsey and TE Jonnu Smith to Pittsburgh for S Minkah Fitzpatrick.
- 📅 April 24: The Dolphins draft Kenneth Grant with the 13th overall pick to help bolster their struggling defensive line.
- 📅 March 21: LB Willie Gay Jr. signs with the Dolphins.
- 📅 Mar 13: Miami signs LB K.J. Britt, RB Alexander Mattison, and re-signs OL Liam Eichenberg.
- 📅 March 10: DT Matt Dickerson re-signs with Miami.
- 📅 January 25: The Dolphins hire Craig Aukerman to take over a struggling special teams.
Key Contributors Toward Dolphins Playoff Chances
With wide receiver Tyreek Hill sidelined for the season, it was up to Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, and De’Von Achane to keep the offense going. But in a competitive AFC, the team has fallen short of making enough plays. Running back Achane still has Offensive Player of the Year odds on the board at +20000.
On defense, Miami made a big splash by trading CB Jalen Ramsey and TE Jonnu Smith to Pittsburgh in exchange for safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, adding a key piece to their secondary. Bradley Chubb returned, and Zach Sieler aimed to be a force on the defensive front. The Dolphins shook up their roster this offseason, hoping these moves would give them the edge they needed to break back into the playoffs in 2025. They started off slow, but the defense showed improvement later in the season, though it wasn't enough to make the postseason.
Where Can I Bet on the Dolphins to Make the Playoffs?
Thanks to positive court rulings, Hard Rock Bet launched in 2023 across the state of Florida. The Seminole Tribe also allows in-person betting at their six casinos. Those who are 21 years or older and located in the state can bet on the Dolphins and every NFL team on the Hard Rock Bet app.
Miami Dolphins Playoff Picture and Predictions
The Dolphins faced a challenging 2025 schedule, including two tough matchups against the Buffalo Bills and five other opponents who reached the playoffs last season. The Dolphins started the season on the wrong foot, with a struggling defense. There was hope down the stretch with a five-game win streak, but key injuries held Miami back. Even with strong performances from players like De’Von Achane, the stacked conference was too much for the Dolphins this season.
Miami Dolphins Playoffs FAQs
The Dolphins’ playoff chances are now officially off the board. Miami’s Week 15 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers mathematically eliminated them from postseason contention. With a 6–8 record, the Dolphins will now shift focus to closing out the 2025 season strong while preparing for the 2026 NFL Draft.
Yes, the Dolphins are out of playoff contention. Their Week 15 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers eliminated Miami from the playoffs. They will close out the season with games against the Cincinnati Bengals, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and New England Patriots.
The Miami Dolphins’ odds to win the AFC East are off the board. The New England Patriots hold the shortest odds to win the division with an 11-3 record. The Buffalo Bills have the next best odds, with a 10-4 record.
Florida bettors can bet on the Dolphins and other NFL teams to make the playoffs with the Hard Rock Bet Florida app. The app fully launched in 2023 and is available to those 21 years old or older in the state. Six Seminole-owned casinos also offer in-person sports betting.
Author
Mike Ferguson is a college football betting analyst for FloridaBet.com. Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Florida.
