Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 2025: Tracking the Bucs Playoff Picture

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Fact Checked by Blake Weishaar
Buccaneers Playoff Chances

Key Takeaways

  • โญ The Bucs' playoff chances are 83.3%, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.
  • ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay has a 76.7% chance of winning the division.
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ The Buccaneers over/under win total is set at 10.5 games in 2025.

Tampa Bay was handed its first loss after falling to Philadelphia in Week 4, but the Bucs remain at the top of the division with a 3-1 record and will take on the Seattle Seahawks on the road next. With Baker Mayfield at the helm, a strong core of returning players, and key additions like rookie Emeka Egbuka, Tampa Bay looks poised for a deep playoff run. The Bucs are chasing their fifth straight division title, and with -500 odds to make the postseason, oddsmakers clearly have confidence in this roster

Weโ€™ll be tracking the teamโ€™s postseason odds and more throughout the season, so check back regularly for the latest updates.

What are the Buccaneers Playoff Chances?

Tampa Bay's playoff chances look promising, but their chances of winning Super Bowl 60 remain a long shot. Ahead of Week 5, Tampa Bay's Super Bowl odds are +2500 at DraftKings. Odds will shift throughout the season and can also vary slightly depending on the sportsbook.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bucs Playoff Chances83.3% chance (-500)
โŒ Bucs Miss Playoffs21.3% chance (+370)
๐Ÿ’ช Bucs Win NFC South76.7% chance (-330)
๐Ÿ‘‘ Bucs Win NFC7.7% chance (+1200)
๐Ÿ† Bucs Win Super Bowl3.9% chance (+2500)
๐Ÿ“ Bucs Projected Win TotalO/U 10.5 (-120/+100)
โœ… Data Verified by ExpertOctober 1, 2025

We based the chances of the Bucs making the playoffs, winning the Super Bowl, and more on implied probability. Implied probability takes the betting odds set by oddsmakers and converts them to a certain percentage of that event happening.

๐Ÿ“† Week 8: Bucs vs Saints Odds

Do the Buccaneers Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Bucs have a solid chance to make the playoffs. Heading into Week 5, Tampa Bay has an 83.3% chance of reaching the postseason and the best odds to win the NFC South at DraftKings. New quarterbacks in Atlanta and New Orleans leave the division looking soft, clearing the way for Tampa Bay to claim a fifth consecutive division crown.

Are the Buccaneers Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Bucs are not out of the playoffs as the season just started. Tampa Bay has a 21.3% chance of missing the playoffs based on +370 odds at DraftKings. The Buccaneers havenโ€™t missed the postseason since 2019, advancing to the playoffs for five consecutive seasons. With a manageable division to navigate, the odds are in their favor to keep the streak alive.

Buccaneers' 2025 Schedule and Betting Odds

Tampa Bay has four primetime games this season, giving them plenty of chances to shine under the bright lights. The Bucs opened the season on the road against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 followed by MNF in Houston against the Texans in Week 2. Tampa Bay faces a challenging road schedule, including back-to-back games against division winners, the Bills and Rams, in Weeks 11 and 12.

Bucs ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 at Atlanta FalconsTB -1.5, ML -120W 23-20
Week 2 at Houston TexansTB +2.5, ML +110W 20-19
Week 3 vs. New York JetsTB -6.5, ML -310W 29-27
Week 4 vs. Philadelphia EaglesTB +3.5, ML +164L 31-25
Week 5 at Seattle SeahawksTB +3, ML +140TBD
Week 6 vs. San Francisco 49ersTB -1.5, ML -125TBD
Week 7 at Detroit LionsTB +3.5, ML +150TBD
Week 8 at New Orleans SaintsTB -5.5, ML -225TBD
Week 9 BYE--
Week 10 vs. New England PatriotsTB -4.5, ML -205TBD
Week 11 at Buffalo BillsTB +5.5, ML +185TBD
Week 12 at Los Angeles RamsTB +2.5, ML +120TBD
Week 13 vs. Arizona CardinalsTB -3.5, ML -175TBD
Week 14 vs. New Orleans SaintsTB -9.5, ML -425TBD
Week 15 vs. Atlanta FalconsTB -5.5, ML -225TBD
Week 16 at Carolina PanthersTB -3.5, ML -175TBD
Week 17 at Miami DolphinsTB -1.5, ML -120TBD
Week 18 vs. Carolina PanthersTB -7, ML -298TBD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances: Key Updates October 2025

Below, I'll track the most important pieces of news and updates impacting the Buccaneers' playoff chances.

  • ๐Ÿ“… September 30: The Bucs place S Rashad Wisdom on injured reserve.
  • ๐Ÿ“… September 23: Tampa Bay places TE Ko Kieft on injured reserve.
  • ๐Ÿ“… September 18: The Bucs place G Cody Mauch and RT Luke Goedeke on injured reserve.
  • ๐Ÿ“… September 17: Tampa Bay places DL Calijah Kancey on injured reserve.
  • ๐Ÿ“… August 26: Tampa Bay activates WR Chris Godwin and T Tristan Wirfs from the active/physically unable to perform list.
  • ๐Ÿ“… August 24: The Bucs waive S Shilo Sanders.
  • ๐Ÿ“… August 5: Tampa Bay signs QB Teddy Bridgewater.
  • ๐Ÿ“… June 26: General Manager Jason Licht and head coach Todd Bowles sign contract extensions with Tampa Bay.
  • ๐Ÿ“… May 9: Tampa Bay signs RB Josh Williams, S Shilo Sanders, and WR Emeka Egbuka to rookie contracts.
  • ๐Ÿ“… April 24: The Bucs select Ohio State WR Emeka Egbuka in the first round of the draft.
  • ๐Ÿ“… April 3: Tampa Bay restructures QB Baker Mayfieldโ€™s contract.
  • ๐Ÿ“… March 17: OT Charlie Heck signs with Tampa Bay.
  • ๐Ÿ“… March 14: WR Sterling Shepard signs with the Bucs.
  • ๐Ÿ“… March 13: Tampa Bay re-signs DT Greg Gaines and OLB Anthony Nelson.
  • ๐Ÿ“… March 13: OLB Haason Reddick and CB Kindle Vildor sign with the Buccaneers.
  • ๐Ÿ“… March 10: Tampa Bay re-signs WR Chris Godwin.
  • ๐Ÿ“… March 7: The Bucs re-sign LB Lavonte David.
  • ๐Ÿ“… January 31: Tampa Bay promotes Josh Grizzard to offensive coordinator.

Bookmark this page, and we will consistently update it with the biggest updates throughout the season that could impact your betting chances.

Key Contributors Toward Bucs Playoff Chances

Quarterback Baker Mayfield once again leads a reliable Tampa Bay offense, returning with most of last season's starters intact and adding depth and versatility. This group gives Tampa Bay one of the more dynamic offenses in the NFL. Defensively, the Bucs retained key players like Lavonte David and Greg Gaines, while boosting their pass rush and secondary with Haason Reddick and Kindle Vildor. These improvements aim to increase pressure and limit big plays, putting Tampa Bay in a strong position to make the playoffs.

Tampa Bay faces a tough road schedule this season. Starting with two away games can be challenging, even if theyโ€™re against teams the Bucs have had success against in the past. The schedule also includes road trips to face the Buffalo Bills, Los Angeles Rams, Detroit Lions, and Houston Texans, all coming off recent playoff appearances. Early wins wonโ€™t guarantee a playoff spot, but they would help the team find its rhythm and set the stage for a deep postseason run.

Where Can I Bet on the Bucs to Make the Playoffs?

Hard Rock Bet launched across Florida in 2023 following changes in state regulations. The Seminole Tribe also offers in-person betting at their six casinos. Anyone 21 or older and located in Florida can wager on the Bucs and every NFL team through the Hard Rock Bet app. This has made legal sports betting accessible for fans across the state.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Picture and Predictions

Tampa Bay has a roster built for sustained success. Offensively, the Bucs have the tools to stay competitive in a tough NFC race. Even with some early challenges up front, the offense has the potential to be one of the most well-rounded and explosive units in the conference.

On defense, the Bucs have strengthened their pass rush and are better equipped to hold leads and get off the field in key moments. The balance on both sides of the ball makes Tampa Bay a serious playoff contender, especially in an NFC South that remains wide open.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs FAQs

Author

Dan Thompson

Dan Thompson is a Lead Betting Analyst for FloridaBet.com. Dan's unique experience makes him the perfect fit to find the latest storylines and interesting betting angles impacting Florida sports betting.

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