Betting Experts Tracking the Miami Dolphins Super Bowl Odds: Week 18

Fact Checked by Shannon Lane
Mike McDaniel at Training Camp

Key Takeaways:

  • πŸ“Š The Dolphins Super Bowl odds are +1100 entering Week 18, according to Hard Rock Bet. The Dolphins were listed at +750 last week.
  • πŸ† Using implied probability, the Dolphins have a 8.3% chance to win Super Bowl LVIII.
  • ⭐️ The Dolphins have the seventh-shortest odds to win Super Bowl 58 among all 32 teams.

Riding a two-game win streak, the Miami Dolphins watched their streak snap in lopsided fashion in a 56-19 loss to the Ravens. With a chance to become the No. 1 seed in the AFC, the 47-point loss stamped Baltimore's ticket to a bye in the first week of the NFL Playoffs. Meanwhile, the oddsmakers were significantly moved by the loss, dropping the Dolphins Super Bowl odds to +1100, which moved Miami four spots down to the seventh-shortest odds. Now, the Dolphins host Buffalo in the final week of the season to decide the winner of the AFC East.

Throughout the regular season, I've tracked Miami's odds to win the NFL's biggest prize daily. Bookmark this page to get the latest information as we near the postseason.

πŸ—£οΈ Dolphins vs Jets Odds

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Dolphins Super Bowl 58 Odds: Week 16

The Dolphins Super Bowl odds are +1100, per Hard Rock Bet. Below is a look at the latest odds for Miami, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

Odds to Win SB 2024:+1100
Odds to Win AFC: +575
Odds to Win AFC East:+120
Odds to Make Playoffs:N/A (clinched)
Odds to Miss Playoffs:N/A (clinched)

Following a five-possession loss, the Dolphins' playoff chances are still ahead of them, having already clinched a postseason berth. Now, their focus has shifted to an AFC East championship. After carrying strong odds throughout the final stretch of the season, an improbable four-game win streak for the Bills means Miami must beat them in Week 18 to win the division. With odds over -300 last week, the Dolphins are now 2.5-point home underdogs on Sunday.

Other sportsbooks are in agreement on the 'Fins, with the odds at FanDuel Sportsbook giving Miami a 43.1% chance to win the AFC East, using implied probability at +132 odds, dropping nearly 30% from last week. Meanwhile, at +1400 odds, Miami has a 14.3% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. Miami has not played in the Super Bowl since the 1984 season -- Dan Marino's second year in the league.

Dolphins Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

Hard Rock Bet lists the Miami Dolphins at +850 to win Super Bowl LVIII; DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Dolphins with identical odds. As the 2023 season continues, we will update the odds weekly.

WeekDolphins' SB 58 Odds
Preseason+2000
Week 1    +2500
Week 2+1500
Week 3+1300
Week 4+900
Week 5+900
Week 6+900
Week 7+900
Week 8+900
Week 9+850
Week 10+1100
Week 11+900
Week 12+900
Week 13+800
Week 14+700
Week 15+800
Week 16+850
Week 17+750
Week 18+1400

Due to the embarrassing loss in Week 17, the Dolphins watched their odds to win the Super Bowl plummet by over 400 points. 

Latest Updates Impacting the Dolphins 2024 Super Bowl Odds

Here are the most important updates as they relate to the Dolphins' odds to win Super Bowl 58:

  • πŸ“…Dec. 24, 2023: Miami defeats Dallas at home, 22-20, in front of a national audience in the NFL's primetime slot on Christmas Eve. It's unquestionably the team's most impressive win of the 2023 season.
  • πŸ“…Dec. 11, 2023: The roster loses C Connor Williams to an ACL tear in a 28-27 loss to the Tennessee Titans. With Williams' season over, the 'Fins have to replace a highly impactful blocker for Tua.
  • πŸ“…Dec. 3, 2023: The Miami Dolphins defeat the Washington Commanders to clinch a fourth straight winning season, 45-15.
  • πŸ“…Nov. 27, 2023: Signed DE Jason Pierre-Paul off the New Orleans Saints practice squad. Pierre-Paul is a three-time Pro Bowl selection for the New York Giants and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • πŸ“…Nov. 23, 2023: EDGE Jaelen Phillips suffered a season-ending Achilles injury late in the Dolphins' 34-13 win over the New York Jets.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 13, 2023: Rookie RB De'Von Achane returns from injured reserve. For the season, Achane has 527 total yards and eight total touchdowns.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 29, 2023: In his season debut, CB Jalen Ramsey recorded an interception helping to deliver a 31-17 win over the New England Patriots.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 18, 2023: CB Jalen Ramsey returned to practice after suffering a meniscus tear in the preseason. Ramsey could make his Dolphins debut at some point in November.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 15, 2023: After falling behind 14-0, Miami rallies to beat the Panthers 42-21, moving to 5-1 on the season.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 10, 2023: Rookie RB De'Von Achane will miss several weeks with a knee injury. Achane leads the Dolphins with 460 rushing yards and ranks second on the team with seven total touchdowns.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 8, 2023: With a 31-16 win over the New York Giants and a 25-20 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars by the Buffalo Bills, the Dolphins reclaimed sole possession of first place in the AFC East.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 6, 2023: Dolphins place T Terron Armstead on injured reserve following a injury sustained in a loss to the Buffalo Bills.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 1, 2023: The Miami Dolphins fell to the Buffalo Bills in Orchard Park by a 48-20 score. With the loss, the Dolphins and Bills are now tied atop the AFC East with each owning 3-1 records.
  • πŸ“… Sept. 25, 2023: The Miami Dolphins set a franchise record with 70 points in a win over the Denver Broncos -- the most for an NFL team since 1966. With the Baltimore Ravens' loss to the Indianapolis Colts, Miami is the last remaining undefeated team in the AFC.

As the Dolphins make more significant moves, this page will be updated. Bookmark it and check back for updates as the season unfolds.

Key Contributors Toward Dolphins Super Bowl Odds

The Dolphins didn't get their usual touchdown from Tyreek Hill  in Week 18, losing by over 30 points on the road in Baltimore. In addition, the Dolphins lost two defensive stars to injury in cornerback Xavien Howard and pass rusher Bradley Chubb. Luckily, the offense is healthy going into the battle for the AFC East in Week 18, with QB Tua Tagovailoa and wide receiver Jaylen Waddle to accompany the superstar Hill as the franchise seeks its first Super Bowl appearance in nearly four decades.

Dolphins 2024 Super Bowl Outlook and Predictions

Following the loss, Miami's Super Bowl Odds shrunk by a large margin. Why? Because a 30-point loss to the conference's top-seeded team, along with a loss at Buffalo earlier in the season, tells oddsmakers the Dolphins aren't built for a SB LVIII run.

Entering the final week of the season, Miami has a historic matchup with the Bills to determine the AFC East champion in primetime on Sunday Night Football. Heading into the weekend, the Dolphins are 2.5-point underdogs according to most sportsbooks. This comes a week after Mike McDaniel's team shot to the third-shortest Super Bowl odds after a triumphant home win over Dallas.

For many reasons, the Dolphins are being doubted entering the postseason. But a win on Sunday would add another hill to the roller coaster that is the Dolphins' 2024 Super Bowl odds.

πŸ“²MORE: Orlando Magic Odds

Where Can I Bet on the Miami Dolphins to Win the Super Bowl?

With positive legal results in the past few months, the Seminole Tribe felt comfortable enough to re-launch Hard Rock Bet in Florida on Nov. 7. It is now available to everyone. Sports betting is also now legal in six Seminole-owned casinos.

Having one app dominate Florida online sports betting isn't ideal, but that is why we've seen other gaming operators take the issue to the courts in an attempt to question the legality of the compact between the Seminole Tribe and the state of Florida. Flagler Associates' recent legal move, asking the court to immediately suspend the app until the case is fully resolved, was struck down. It has been given an extension until February to file a U.S. Supreme Court petition that would require a 60% referendum to legalize sports betting in the Sunshine State.

Dolphins Super Bowl History

The Miami Dolphins, historically, are no stranger to the Super Bowl. Miami was the first AFC team to appear in five Super Bowls and the conference's first team to appear in consecutive Super Bowls. Unfortunately, all of Miami's Super Bowl appearances came in its first 20 years as a franchise.

In their sixth year of existence, the Dolphins reached the Super Bowl for the first time. After falling to the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl VI, Miami bounced back to win the next two Super Bowls. That was highlighted by the NFL's first and only perfect season in 1972. The Dolphins ultimately played in a pair of Super Bowls over a three-year stretch during the early 1980s, but both resulted in losses. Miami has not won appeared in the Super Bowl since the 1984 seasonβ€”Dan Marino's second in the league.

Have the Dolphins Ever Won the Super Bowl?

Yes, the Miami Dolphins are two-time Super Bowl champions. The Dolphins won back-to-back Super Bowls in 1972 and 1973.

The 1972 team famously completed the first and still only perfect season in NFL history. Miami capped the year with a 14-7 win over the then-Washington Redskins in Super Bowl VII at the Los Angeles Coliseum. The Dolphins' "No Name Defense" dominated the contest. Safety Jake Scott recorded two interceptions and was named the game's Most Valuable Player. The Dolphins took a shutout into the final quarter before an infamous gaffe by Miami kicker Garo Yepremian allowed Washington's Mike Bass to score a touchdown. Bass' score broke up the shutout, but couldn't stop perfection.

With a 24-7 win over the Minnesota Vikings in Super Bowl VIII in Houston, the Dolphins joined the Green Bay Packers as the only repeat winners at the time. In a dominating effort, the Dolphins racked up nearly 200 yards rushing. MVP Larry Csonka led the way with a then-Super Bowl record 145 yards rushing and two touchdowns. For the second year in a row, Miami took a shutout into the fourth quarter.

How Many Super Bowls Have the Miami Dolphins Won?

The Miami Dolphins have won two Super Bowls. Miami won Super Bowls VII and VIII. Among AFC teams, that is tied for the sixth-most with the Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts.

Which Years Did the Dolphins Go to the Super Bowl?

The Miami Dolphins have appeared in the Super Bowl five times (1971, 1972, 1973, 1982, 1984).

  • ❌ 1971-72 (Super Bowl VI): Dallas Cowboys 24, Miami Dolphins 3
  • βœ… 1972-73 (Super Bowl VII): Miami Dolphins 14, Washington Redskins 7
  • βœ… 1973-74 (Super Bowl VIII): Miami Dolphins 24, Minnesota Vikings 7
  • ❌ 1982-83 (Super Bowl XVII): Washington Redskins 27, Miami Dolphins 17
  • ❌ 1984-85 (Super Bowl XIX): San Francisco 49ers 38, Miami Dolphins 16

For the Miami Dolphins, trips to the Super Bowl seem like ancient history. The Dolphins are approaching four decades without a Super Bowl appearance. Founded in 1966, the Dolphins suffered through four losing seasons to begin their franchise, but that changed in 1970 with the hiring of head coach Don Shula.

After leading the Dolphins to their first playoff appearance in 1970, Shula took Miami to the Super Bowl in his second year. Against the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl VI, however, Miami became the first team in Super Bowl history to be held without a touchdown in a 24-3 loss. They were the only team until the 2018 season when the Los Angeles Rams were defeated by the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII by a 13-3 score.

Miami bounced back from their first Super Bowl loss with back-to-back victories on Super Sunday. The Dolphins capped the first perfect season in NFL history with a 14-7 victory over the then-Washington Redskins in Super Bowl VII. Safety Jake Scott picked off two passes, including one in the end zone, to earn MVP honors. In Super Bowl VIII a year later, fullback Larry Csonka put on a show in a 24-7 win over the Minnesota Vikings, rushing for 145 yards and two touchdowns -- Super Bowl records at the time.

The Dolphins would go another nine years without a Super Bowl appearance, but returned during the 1982 season. Against the then-Washington Redskins in Super Bowl XVII, Fulton Walker made history for Miami with the first kickoff return for a touchdown in Super Bowl history. Unfortunately for the Dolphins, the "Killer B" defense had no answer for Washington's John Riggins, who rushed for 166 yards and a touchdown in a 27-17 Washington victory.

Miami's last Super Bowl appearance came in Super Bowl XIX as league MVP Dan Marino led the Dolphins against the San Francisco 49ers in Palo Alto. Marino eclipsed the 300-yard passing mark, but was intercepted twice. On the other side, 49ers quarterback and game MVP Joe Montana put on a show with 390 total yards and four total touchdowns in a 38-16 San Francisco rout.

How Many Times Have the Dolphins Been to the AFC Championship Game?

The Miami Dolphins have appeared in the AFC Championship Game seven times, boasting a 5-2 record. Miami, however, has not played in the conference title game since the 1992-93 season when it lost to the Buffalo Bills at home, 29-10. The Dolphins won their first five appearances in the AFC title game, beginning with a 21-0 victory over the Baltimore Colts during the 1971-72 season. Miami intercepted Johnny Unitas three times, which included a 62-yard return for a touchdown by safety Dick Anderson.

During the 1972-73 season, Miami was forced to rally in the AFC conference game to keep its perfect season alive, but did so behind two second-half touchdown runs from Jim Kiick in a 21-17 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers at Three Rivers Stadium. Miami was sparked by a quarterback change as Bob Griese replaced Earl Morrall and by a successful fake punt from Larry Seiple.

The following year, the Dolphins clinched their third straight Super Bowl appearance with a 27-10 win over the then-Oakland Raiders. Larry Csonka rushed for 117 yards and three touchdowns in the victory. The first AFC Championship loss for Miami came during the 1985-86 season as the Dolphins were stunned at home by the New England Patriots, 31-14. New England would go on to lose in Super Bowl XX to a Chicago Bears team whose only loss came on a Monday night in December to the Dolphins.

Dolphins Preseason Super Bowl Odds Every Year Since 2000

The Dolphins Super Bowl odds are currently +2500, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. That is the best preseason odds for Miami in eight years. Here's a look at the Dolphins' preseason odds from past years.

πŸ“† 2022-2023Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2021-2022Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2020-2021Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2019-2020Preseason Odds = +50000
πŸ“† 2018-2019Preseason Odds = +8000
πŸ“† 2017-2018Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2016-2017Preseason Odds = +8000
πŸ“† 2015-2016Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2014-2015Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2013-2014Preseason Odds = +5000
πŸ“† 2012-2013Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2011-2012Preseason Odds = +6600
πŸ“† 2010-2011Preseason Odds = +3300
πŸ“† 2009-2010Preseason Odds = +5000
πŸ“† 2008-2009Preseason Odds = +12500
πŸ“† 2007-2008Preseason Odds = +6000
πŸ“† 2006-2007Preseason Odds = +2500
πŸ“† 2005-2006Preseason Odds = +6000
πŸ“† 2004-2005Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2003-2004Preseason Odds = +1000
πŸ“† 2002-2003Preseason Odds = +1500
πŸ“† 2001-2002Preseason Odds = +3000
πŸ“† 2000-2001Preseason Odds = +6000
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertJune 5, 2024

The Dolphins will enter the 2023 campaign with their best odds to win the Super Bowl since 2015-16. That year, Miami finished just 6-10 and head coach Joe Philbin was fired just a month into the season.

Miami Dolphins Super Bowl FAQs

Author

Mike Ferguson is a college football betting analyst for FloridaBet.com. Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Florida.

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