Betting Experts Tracking the Miami Dolphins Super Bowl Odds: Week 3

Fact Checked by Shannon Lane
Mike McDaniel at Training Camp

Key Takeaways:

  • πŸ“Š The Dolphins Super Bowl odds are now +1300, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Those odds were +1500 last week.
  • πŸ† Using implied probability, the Dolphins have a 7.1% chance to win Super Bowl 58.
  • ⭐️ The Dolphins currently have the sixth-best odds to win the Super Bowl.

Through two road games, the Miami Dolphins now have two victories. As was the case in Week 1, the win didn't come easy against the New England Patriots, but Miami used a fourth-down stop -- and an entertaining one at that -- to leave Gillette Stadium with a 24-17 victory on Sunday night. The Dolphins are now 2-0 for the second straight year.

With another victory comes another rise odds-wise. Prior to the start of the season, the Dolphins were listed at +2500 to win Super Bowl LVIII, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. After increasing to +1500 last week, Miami now sits at +1300 to take home the Vince Lombardi Trophy. Naturally, the Dolphins playoff chances have also improved, going from -225 to -425.

Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill hooked up for another touchdown on Sunday night while running back Raheem Mostert and defensive end Bradley Chubb had arguably their best games as members of the Dolphins. Mostert rushed for 121 yards and two touchdowns while Chubb finished with a sack and a forced fumble as Miami remained undefeated.

Throughout the NFL season, we'll be updating the Dolphins Super Bowl odds each week, so bookmark this page for the latest news and highlights.

Dolphins Super Bowl 58 Odds: Week 3

The Dolphins Super Bowl odds are +1300, per DraftKings Sportsbook. While optimism is high in South Florida, it should be noted that the Dolphins have the longest drought in the AFC without a playoff victory. Below is a look at the latest odds for Miami, according to DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbooks.

  • Odds to Win SB 2024: +1300 (DraftKings)
  • Odds to Win AFC: +600 (DraftKings)
  • Odds to Win AFC East: +105 (DraftKings)
  • Odds to Make Playoffs: -325 (DraftKings)
  • Odds to Miss Playoffs: +250 (DraftKings)

Despite being without starting tackle Terron Armstead and top pass rusher Jaelen Phillips, the Miami Dolphins went into hostile territory on Sunday night and left with a 24-17 victory over the New England Patriots. With the win, Miami moved to 2-0 and now sits alone atop the AFC East.

As a result of another commendable performance, the Dolphins' Super Bowl odds have gone from +1500 to +1300. Using implied probability, Miami's chances have gone from 6.3% to 7.1%, per DraftKings. The Dolphins now own the sixth-best odds in the entire NFL to win the Super Bowl.

When it comes to winning the AFC East, the Dolphins went from +135 to +105. Miami remains just slightly ahead of the Buffalo Bills (+110). When it comes to getting to the Super Bowl, the Dolphins moved from +700 to +600, giving them the third-best odds in the AFC.

To start the season, the Dolphins had an equal chance (-110) to make and miss the playoffs, per DraftKings. That now sits at -325, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. Using implied probability, Miami has a 76.5% chance to make the postseason. The Dolphins reached the postseason for the first time since 2016 last year. They have not made consecutive playoff appearances since 2000 and 2001.

Dolphins Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

After opening at +2000 to win Super Bowl LVIII, Miami is now listed at +1300 according to DraftKings Sportsbook. As the 2023 season progresses, we will update the odds following each week's action.

WeekDolphins' SB 58 Odds
Week 1    +2500
Week 2+1500
Week 3+1300


Dolphins Super Bowl Odds vs. AFC East

Now sitting alone atop the AFC East standings, the Miami Dolphins remain the favorite to win the division at +105. The Buffalo Bills, however, aren't far behind at +110, per DraftKings Sportsbook. After losses this week, the New England Patriots (+1200) and New York Jets (+1500) have become long shots.

Despite emerging as the favorite to win the division, the Bills continue to have better odds than Miami to win the AFC and Super Bowl. Miami is listed at +600 to win the AFC, according to DraftKings. Only the Kansas City Chiefs (+330) and Bills (+550) are listed higher. The Dolphins' +1300 Super Bowl odds are behind only the San Francisco 49ers (+650), Chiefs (+700), Dallas Cowboys (+750), Philadelphia Eagles (+750) and Bills (+1000).

Entering the season, Miami had just the third-best odds in the division behind the Bills and Jets. The loss of New York quarterback Aaron Rodgers for the season and a Jets blowout loss to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2 has quelled the high hopes. Currently 2-0, Miami is in sole possession of first place in the AFC East. The Jets and Bills are each 1-1 while New England is 0-2.

Latest Updates Impacting the Dolphins 2024 Super Bowl Odds

The Dolphins had a relatively impactful offseason, but there were some recent misses. There has also been a fair amount of injury news from camp.

  • πŸ“… Sept. 18, 2023: With a 24-17 win over the New England Patriots and a Dallas Cowboys victory over the New York Jets, the Miami Dolphins moved into sole possession of first place in the AFC East.
  • πŸ“… Sept. 11, 2023: New York Jets QB Aaron Rodgers suffered a season-ending Achilles injury in a 22-16 overtime win over the Buffalo Bills. The Jets previously had better playoffs, AFC East and Super Bowl odds than Miami.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 29, 2023: The Indianapolis Colts elected not to trade RB Jonathan Taylor prior to the start of the season. Miami and the Green Bay Packers were among the interested teams.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 27, 2023: Dolphins sign DT Zach Sieler to a contract extension for three years and more than $38 million.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 23, 2023: Dolphins are reportedly in trade talks with the Indianapolis Colts to acquire star running back Jonathan Taylor.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 17, 2023: Dolphins T Terron Armstead was carted off the practice field with an apparent right leg injury.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 15, 2023: Dolphins rivals sign pair of former Pro Bowl running backs. Dalvin Cook signs with the New York Jets. Ezekiel Elliott signs with the New England Patriots.
  • πŸ“… July 27, 2023: CB Jalen Ramsey suffered a meniscus injury during training camp, which will require knee surgery. He's expected to miss at least 6-8 weeks, if not more.
  • πŸ“… April 17, 2023: WR Chosen Anderson signs with the Dolphins. Anderson finished with nearly 1,100 yards receiving for the Carolina Panthers in 2020.
  • πŸ“… March 16, 2023: The Dolphins sign QB Mike White, who is 2-5 in seven NFL starts for the New York Jets, and re-sign RB Jeff Wilson, who rushed for 392 yards and three touchdowns in eight games for Miami last season.
  • πŸ“… March 15, 2023: The Dolphins release CB Byron Jones, who missed all of 2022 to injury, and acquire Ramsey in a trade with the Los Angeles Rams. Ramsey has made the Pro Bowl in each of the last six years.
  • πŸ“… Feb. 15, 2023: Vic Fangio is named as Dolphins defensive coordinator. Previously head coach of the Denver Broncos, Fangio has served as coordinator for the Indianapolis Colts, Houston Texans, San Francisco 49ers, and Chicago Bears.

As the Dolphins make more significant moves, this page will be updated. Bookmark it and check back for updates as the season unfolds.

Dolphins Schedule and Betting Lines

Below is a look at the point spread and money line for each of the Dolphins' 17 regular season games in 2023. These lines will change throughout the season.

πŸ“… Week 1 @ Los Angeles Chargers (W 36-34)🏈 Dolphins +3, ML +136
πŸ“… Week 2 @ New England Patriots (W 24-17)🏈 Dolphins -2.5, ML -130
πŸ“… Week 3 vs. Denver Broncos🏈 Dolphins -6.5, ML -285
πŸ“… Week 4 @ Buffalo Bills🏈 Dolphins +3.5, ML +150
πŸ“… Week 5 vs. New York Giants🏈 Dolphins -4.5, ML -198
πŸ“… Week 6 vs. Carolina Panthers🏈 Dolphins -7, ML -290
πŸ“… Week 7 @ PHI (Sunday Night Football)🏈 Dolphins +4, ML +160
πŸ“… Week 8 vs. New England Patriots🏈 Dolphins -4, ML -185
πŸ“… Week 9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Germany)🏈 Dolphins +4.5, ML +170
πŸ“… Week 10🏈 BYE
πŸ“… Week 11 vs. Las Vegas Raiders🏈 Dolphins -5.5, ML -225
πŸ“… Week 12 vs. NYJ (Black Friday)🏈 Dolphins +2.5, ML +114
πŸ“… Week 13 @ Washington Commanders🏈 Dolphins -3.5, ML -175
πŸ“… Week 14 vs. TEN (Monday Night Football)🏈 Dolphins -7, ML -298
πŸ“… Week 15 vs. New York Jets🏈 Dolphins -1.5, ML -120
πŸ“… Week 16 vs. DAL (Christmas Eve)🏈 Dolphins -1.5, ML -120
πŸ“… Week 17 @ BAL (New Year's Eve)🏈 Dolphins +1.5, ML +102
πŸ“… Week 18 vs. Buffalo Bills🏈 Dolphins -1.5, ML -122
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertSeptember 27, 2023

Lines for the Miami Dolphins' final 13 games are no longer available at DraftKings Sportsbook, but for this week's home matchup with the Denver Broncos and next week's road tilt against the Buffalo Bills, there was some movement. 

Last week, Miami was listed as a 5.5-point favorite against Denver. That has now increased to -6.5 for the Dolphins. The moneyline has also gone from -240 to -285.

The spread for the divisional bout against Buffalo has remained at 3.5 in favor of the Bills, but the moneyline has shifted in favor of the bad guys. Miami's moneyline odds have gone from +145 to +150.

The Dolphins are off to a 2-0 start with a pair of close wins while the Broncos are 0-2 with two losses decided by three total points. It will be the first meeting between the teams since a 20-13 win for Denver in 2020.

The over/under is set at 48.5. Should the over hit, it would be the highest scoring game between the teams since a 39-36 Denver win in 2014. Quarterbacks Ryan Tannehill and Peyton Manning combined for even touchdown passes in the shootout. Sunday's game at Hard Rock Stadium will begin at 1 p.m. ET and air regionally on CBS.

Key Contributors Toward Dolphins Super Bowl Odds

Despite being without tackle Terron Armstead and Jaelen Phillips (+6000 to win Defensive Player of the Year) on Sunday night, the Dolphins scored a big road win in hostile territory with a 24-17 victory over the New England Patriots. Tua Tagovailoa came back down to earth with 249 yards passing a touchdown but is now alone as the frontrunner to win MVP at +600, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

Tyreek Hill had a pedestrian night with 40 yards receiving and a touchdown. He is now tied with San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey as the front-runner to win Offensive Player of the Year with both listed at +550. Raheem Mostert (+15000 to win Offensive Player of the Year) had his best game as a Miami Dolphin with 121 yards rushing and two touchdowns. Jaylen Waddle (+5000 to win Offensive Player of the Year) led all receivers with 86 yards on Sunday night in Foxborough.

Defensively, Bradley Chubb (+5000 to win Defensive Player of the Year) stepped up for Miami with a forced fumble and a sack while Christian Wilkins (+15000 to win Defensive Player of the Year) and Zach Sieler kept the Patriots' ground game in check. Xavien Howard (+20000 to win Defensive Player of the Year) had his first interception of the season to thwart a New England scoring opportunity. As the year goes on, Miami expects to have Jalen Ramsey back from injury. Rookie Cam Smith (+4000 to win Defensive Rookie of the Year) could be a key player in the secondary as well. On the offensive side, running back De'Von Achane (+5000 to win Offensive Rookie of the Year) saw his first meaningful action for Miami.

Where Can I Bet on the Miami Dolphins to Win the Super Bowl?

Odds are available at a number of sportsbooks for the Miami Dolphins to win the Super Bowl. DraftKings Sports currently offers markets for Miami to win the Super Bowl, AFC, and the division. BetMGM FL Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, and Caesars Sportsbook are among the other most-trusted sportsbooks online, offering markets on playoff appearances and Coach of the Year, among others.

Unfortunately for those in the state of Florida, sports betting is not legal. There was hope for the 2021 Florida Seminole Gaming Compact to stand, but a rehearing was denied. The tribe would have had exclusive oversight of Florida sports betting. Instead, bettors in the Sunshine State will have to travel to a nearby state such as Louisiana or North Carolina to wager on Miami to take home the Vince Lombardi Trophy.

Dolphins 2024 Super Bowl Outlook and Predictions

We're two weeks into the NFL season and the Miami Dolphins are 2-0. The Baltimore Ravens are the only other team in the AFC currently undefeated. Despite playing two road games against playoff contenders from last season, Miami has come through in the clutch when it has mattered most. The Dolphins have sealed victories in each of the last two weeks with timely stops.

The Dolphins currently hold a one-game lead over the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills in an AFC East that may be turning into a two-team race. Miami has a favorable stretch upcoming with home games against the Denver Broncos, New York Giants, and Carolina Panthers. An Oct. 1 trip to Buffalo, however, could have huge AFC East implications.

It's silly to look at the standings at this point in the season, but if the playoffs started today, Miami would be the No. 2 seed in the AFC and matched up with the reigning Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. The Dolphins have not won a division title nor hosted a playoff game since 2008.


Dolphins Super Bowl History

The Miami Dolphins, historically, are no stranger to the Super Bowl. Miami was the first AFC team to appear in five Super Bowls and the conference's first team to appear in consecutive Super Bowls. Unfortunately, all of Miami's Super Bowl appearances came in its first 20 years as a franchise.

In their sixth year of existence, the Dolphins reached the Super Bowl for the first time. After falling to the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl VI, Miami bounced back to win the next two Super Bowls. That was highlighted by the NFL's first and only perfect season in 1972. The Dolphins ultimately played in a pair of Super Bowls over a three-year stretch during the early 1980s, but both resulted in losses. Miami has not won appeared in the Super Bowl since the 1984 seasonβ€”Dan Marino's second in the league.

Have the Dolphins Ever Won the Super Bowl?

Yes, the Miami Dolphins are two-time Super Bowl champions. The Dolphins won back-to-back Super Bowls in 1972 and 1973.

The 1972 team famously completed the first and still only perfect season in NFL history. Miami capped the year with a 14-7 win over the then-Washington Redskins in Super Bowl VII at the Los Angeles Coliseum. The Dolphins' "No Name Defense" dominated the contest. Safety Jake Scott recorded two interceptions and was named the game's Most Valuable Player. The Dolphins took a shutout into the final quarter before an infamous gaffe by Miami kicker Garo Yepremian allowed Washington's Mike Bass to score a touchdown. Bass' score broke up the shutout, but couldn't stop perfection.

With a 24-7 win over the Minnesota Vikings in Super Bowl VIII in Houston, the Dolphins joined the Green Bay Packers as the only repeat winners at the time. In a dominating effort, the Dolphins racked up nearly 200 yards rushing. MVP Larry Csonka led the way with a then-Super Bowl record 145 yards rushing and two touchdowns. For the second year in a row, Miami took a shutout into the fourth quarter.

How Many Super Bowls Have the Miami Dolphins Won?

The Miami Dolphins have won two Super Bowls. Miami won Super Bowls VII and VIII. Among AFC teams, that is tied for the sixth-most with the Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts.

Which Years Did the Dolphins Go to the Super Bowl?

The Miami Dolphins have appeared in the Super Bowl five times (1971, 1972, 1973, 1982, 1984).

  • ❌ 1971-72 (Super Bowl VI): Dallas Cowboys 24, Miami Dolphins 3
  • βœ… 1972-73 (Super Bowl VII): Miami Dolphins 14, Washington Redskins 7
  • βœ… 1973-74 (Super Bowl VIII): Miami Dolphins 24, Minnesota Vikings 7
  • ❌ 1982-83 (Super Bowl XVII): Washington Redskins 27, Miami Dolphins 17
  • ❌ 1984-85 (Super Bowl XIX): San Francisco 49ers 38, Miami Dolphins 16

For the Miami Dolphins, trips to the Super Bowl seem like ancient history. The Dolphins are approaching four decades without a Super Bowl appearance. Founded in 1966, the Dolphins suffered through four losing seasons to begin their franchise, but that changed in 1970 with the hiring of head coach Don Shula.

After leading the Dolphins to their first playoff appearance in 1970, Shula took Miami to the Super Bowl in his second year. Against the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl VI, however, Miami became the first team in Super Bowl history to be held without a touchdown in a 24-3 loss. They were the only team until the 2018 season when the Los Angeles Rams were defeated by the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII by a 13-3 score.

Miami bounced back from their first Super Bowl loss with back-to-back victories on Super Sunday. The Dolphins capped the first perfect season in NFL history with a 14-7 victory over the then-Washington Redskins in Super Bowl VII. Safety Jake Scott picked off two passes, including one in the end zone, to earn MVP honors. In Super Bowl VIII a year later, fullback Larry Csonka put on a show in a 24-7 win over the Minnesota Vikings, rushing for 145 yards and two touchdowns -- Super Bowl records at the time.

The Dolphins would go another nine years without a Super Bowl appearance, but returned during the 1982 season. Against the then-Washington Redskins in Super Bowl XVII, Fulton Walker made history for Miami with the first kickoff return for a touchdown in Super Bowl history. Unfortunately for the Dolphins, the "Killer B" defense had no answer for Washington's John Riggins, who rushed for 166 yards and a touchdown in a 27-17 Washington victory.

Miami's last Super Bowl appearance came in Super Bowl XIX as league MVP Dan Marino led the Dolphins against the San Francisco 49ers in Palo Alto. Marino eclipsed the 300-yard passing mark, but was intercepted twice. On the other side, 49ers quarterback and game MVP Joe Montana put on a show with 390 total yards and four total touchdowns in a 38-16 San Francisco rout.

How Many Times Have the Dolphins Been to the AFC Championship Game?

The Miami Dolphins have appeared in the AFC Championship Game seven times, boasting a 5-2 record. Miami, however, has not played in the conference title game since the 1992-93 season when it lost to the Buffalo Bills at home, 29-10. The Dolphins won their first five appearances in the AFC title game, beginning with a 21-0 victory over the Baltimore Colts during the 1971-72 season. Miami intercepted Johnny Unitas three times, which included a 62-yard return for a touchdown by safety Dick Anderson.

During the 1972-73 season, Miami was forced to rally in the AFC conference game to keep its perfect season alive, but did so behind two second-half touchdown runs from Jim Kiick in a 21-17 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers at Three Rivers Stadium. Miami was sparked by a quarterback change as Bob Griese replaced Earl Morrall and by a successful fake punt from Larry Seiple.

The following year, the Dolphins clinched their third straight Super Bowl appearance with a 27-10 win over the then-Oakland Raiders. Larry Csonka rushed for 117 yards and three touchdowns in the victory. The first AFC Championship loss for Miami came during the 1985-86 season as the Dolphins were stunned at home by the New England Patriots, 31-14. New England would go on to lose in Super Bowl XX to a Chicago Bears team whose only loss came on a Monday night in December to the Dolphins.


Dolphins Preseason Super Bowl Odds Every Year Since 2000

The Dolphins Super Bowl odds are currently +2500, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. That is the best preseason odds for Miami in eight years. Here's a look at the Dolphins' preseason odds from past years.

πŸ“† 2022-2023Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2021-2022Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2020-2021Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2019-2020Preseason Odds = +50000
πŸ“† 2018-2019Preseason Odds = +8000
πŸ“† 2017-2018Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2016-2017Preseason Odds = +8000
πŸ“† 2015-2016Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2014-2015Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2013-2014Preseason Odds = +5000
πŸ“† 2012-2013Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2011-2012Preseason Odds = +6600
πŸ“† 2010-2011Preseason Odds = +3300
πŸ“† 2009-2010Preseason Odds = +5000
πŸ“† 2008-2009Preseason Odds = +12500
πŸ“† 2007-2008Preseason Odds = +6000
πŸ“† 2006-2007Preseason Odds = +2500
πŸ“† 2005-2006Preseason Odds = +6000
πŸ“† 2004-2005Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2003-2004Preseason Odds = +1000
πŸ“† 2002-2003Preseason Odds = +1500
πŸ“† 2001-2002Preseason Odds = +3000
πŸ“† 2000-2001Preseason Odds = +6000
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertSeptember 27, 2023

The Dolphins will enter the 2023 campaign with their best odds to win the Super Bowl since 2015-16. That year, Miami finished just 6-10 and head coach Joe Philbin was fired just a month into the season.

Miami Dolphins Super Bowl FAQs


Mike Ferguson is a college football betting analyst for Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Florida.

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