What are the Dolphins Playoff Chances?
The Dolphins' playoff chances are at 39.2% in the offseason boards. Additionally, they have a 13.3% chance to win the AFC East, according to odds from Hard Rock Bet. Additionally, the Dolphins have the 10th-shortest odds to win the AFC Conference.
Below is a chart looking at the latest odds and data points related to the Dolphins' playoff picture, which I will update each week as the odds change.
| Dolphins Playoff Options | Odds | Chances |
| Dolphins Make Playoffs | +155 | 39.2% |
| Dolphins Miss Playoffs | -190 | 65.5% |
| Dolphins Win AFC East | +650 | 13.3% |
| Dolphins Win AFC | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Dolphins Win Super Bowl | +8000 | 1.23% |
Things are not as optimistic as they were last season. That's what happens when you go 2-6 to start the season and your quarterback suffers another injury. But winning some games can definitely catapult the Dolphins' Super Bowl odds from pretenders to contenders.
As of right now, the Dolphins have the 10th-shortest odds to win the AFC and the 22nd-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl at +8000, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. That means oddsmakers don't like Miami much this season.
Dolphins Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
We updated you weekly with the Dolphins' playoff chances throughout the season. Now that Miami has clinched, take a look at how they got there in the table below.
| Week | Line | Result |
| Week 1 @ Indianapolis Colts | +1.5 ML +100 |
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| Week 2 vs. New England Patriots | -2.5 ML -142 |
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| Week 3 @ Buffalo Bills | +8.5 ML +300 |
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| Week 4 vs. New York Jets | -5.5 ML -230 |
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| Week 5 @ Carolina Panthers | -1.5 ML -120 |
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| Week 6 vs. Los Angeles Chargers | +1.5 ML +100 |
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| Week 7 @ Cleveland Browns | -1.5 ML -120 |
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| Week 8 @ Atlanta Falcons | +1.5 ML +102 |
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| Week 9 vs. Baltimore Ravens | +5.5 ML +190 |
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| Week 10 vs. Buffalo Bills | +5.5 ML +185 | |
| Week 11 vs. Washington Commanders | +4.5 ML +170 | |
| Week 12 BYE WEEK |
| |
| Week 13 vs. New Orleans Saints | -6 ML -238 | |
| Week 14 @ New York Jets | -1.5 ML -120 | |
| Week 15 @ Pittsburgh Steelers | +2.5 ML +110 | |
| Week 16 vs. Cincinnati Bengals | +1.5 ML +102 | |
| Week 17 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1.5 ML +102 | |
| Week 18 @ New England Patriots | +2.5 ML +110 |
Do the Dolphins Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Dolphins do have a chance to make the playoffs, as it is still the offseason. In fact, they have a 39.2% chance of making the playoffs.
Are the Dolphins Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs. The season has not begun yet.
Dolphins Playoff Chances: Key Updates June 2025
The Dolphins have high hopes for the 2025 season, even if oddsmakers don't necessarily see it the same way.
Below, I will provide daily updates throughout the season:
- 📅Apr. 25, 2025: The Dolphins draft Kenneth Grant with the 13th overall pick to help bolster their struggling defensive line.
- 📅Jan. 25, 2025: The Dolphins hire Craig Aukerman to take over a struggling special teams.
Key Contributors Toward Dolphins Playoff Chances
With wide receiver Tyreek Hill (+3000 to win Offensive Player of the Year), and Tua Tagovailoa (+5000 to win MVP) still around, the Dolphins can still definitely mount a good offense. Jaylen Waddle also returns as the receiver on the other side.
De'Von Achane will have a stronger role in the offense this season, and will likely take the next step in his development as the Miami power running game continues.
Bradley Chubb is back and will continue to wreak havoc against opposing quarterbacks. Zach Sieler also returns and will look to be strong on the defensive side of the ball.
Where Can I Bet on the Dolphins to Make the Playoffs?
Thanks to the positive court rulings, Hard Rock Bet decided to launch in a limited capacity on Nov. 7. Now, it is available to everyone. The Seminole Tribe also allows in-person betting at the six casinos it owns and operates. That will happen this month.
Flagler Associates' move, asking the court to immediately suspend the app until the case is fully resolved, has been struck down, but it did get an extension until February to file a petition with the U.S. Supreme Court that would require sports betting in Florida to be passed by a referendum vote, which requires approval from 60% of the public.
Miami Dolphins Playoff Picture and Predictions
The Dolphins have to navigate a tough 2025 schedule to make the playoffs. First, they must avoid a slow start. Then, they must figure out how to beat contenders to bolster their chances of winning the AFC East or making the playoffs as a wildcard.
Miami Dolphins Playoffs FAQs
The Dolphins playoff chances are currently 39.2%. That number could go up or down depending on how they start the season and can fluctuate on a weekly basis based on performance, and whether the Dolphins are racking up wins or losses.
No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs. The season has not started yet, so the Dolphins technically have as good a chance as anyone. Oddsmakers don't feel like they will make the playoffs, but still have them in as a possibility.
The Dolphins currently have +650 odds to win the AFC East, or a 13.3% chance. Oddsmakers strongly believe the Buffalo Bills will win the division, and are not giving the Dolphins much of a chance of claiming the division title.
Author
Mike Ferguson is a college football betting analyst for FloridaBet.com. Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Florida.
