What Are the Dolphins Playoff Chances?
The Dolphins' playoff chances are at 39.2% in the offseason. Miami has the second-longest odds to win the AFC East according to odds from Hard Rock Bet.
Below is a chart looking at the latest odds and data points related to the Dolphins' playoff picture, which I will update weekly as the odds change.
| 🔮 Dolphins Playoff Chances | 39.2% chance (+155) |
| ❌ Dolphins Miss Playoffs | 65.5% chance (-190) |
| 💪 Dolphins Win AFC East | 13.3% chance (+650) |
| 👑 Dolphins Win AFC | 2.8% chance (+3500) |
| 🏆 Dolphins Win Super Bowl 60 | 1.2% chance (+8000) |
| 📝 Dolphins Projected Win Total | O/U 8.5 (+150/-180) |
There isn't much optimism for the Dolphins' 2025 season, but Miami could surprise us all and be a winning team. If the Dolphins get off to a better start than last season, it could catapult the Dolphins' Super Bowl odds from pretenders to contenders.
As of right now, the Dolphins have the 11th-longest odds to win the Super Bowl at +8000, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. That means oddsmakers don't have much faith in Miami this season.
Dolphins' 2025 Schedule and Betting Odds
The Dolphins will take on the Washington Commanders in Week 11 for an international game in Madrid. Miami has five primetime games in the 2025 season, including a TNF divisional matchup against the Buffalo Bills in Week 5.
Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 @ Indianapolis Colts | +1.5 ML +100 | TBD |
| Week 2 vs. New England Patriots | -2.5 ML -142 | TBD |
| Week 3 @ Buffalo Bills | +8.5 ML +300 | TBD |
| Week 4 vs. New York Jets | -5.5 ML -230 | TBD |
| Week 5 @ Carolina Panthers | -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 6 vs. Los Angeles Chargers | +1.5 ML +100 | TBD |
| Week 7 @ Cleveland Browns | -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 8 @ Atlanta Falcons | +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 9 vs. Baltimore Ravens | +5.5 ML +190 | TBD |
| Week 10 vs. Buffalo Bills | +5.5 ML +185 | TBD |
| Week 11 vs. Washington Commanders | +4.5 ML +170 | TBD |
| Week 12 BYE WEEK | -- | -- |
| Week 13 vs. New Orleans Saints | -6 ML -238 | TBD |
| Week 14 @ New York Jets | -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 15 @ Pittsburgh Steelers | +2.5 ML +110 | TBD |
| Week 16 vs. Cincinnati Bengals | +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 17 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 18 @ New England Patriots | +2.5 ML +110 | TBD |
Do the Dolphins Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Dolphins have a chance to make the playoffs, as it is still the offseason. Preseason odds give the Dolphins a 39.2% chance of advancing to the playoffs. These odds will fluctuate once the season kicks off and throughout the 2025 season.
Are the Dolphins Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs. The 2025 season will not kick off until September 5, so every team has a chance to make the playoffs. Based on -190 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Miami Dolphins have a 65.5% chance of missing the postseason. Miami's last playoff appearance was in the 2023-2024 season.
Dolphins Playoff Chances: Key Updates July 2025
The Dolphins have high hopes for the 2025 season, even if oddsmakers don't necessarily see it that way.
Below, I will provide daily updates throughout the season:
- 📅 May 27, 2025: The Dolphins sign CB Ryan Cooper after CB Jason Maitre is placed on injured reserve.
- 📅 May 12, 2025: Miami signs CB Kendall Sheffield.
- 📅 Apr. 25, 2025: The Dolphins draft Kenneth Grant with the 13th overall pick to help bolster their struggling defensive line.
- 📅 Mar. 11, 2025: Miami re-signs CB Kader Kohou.
- 📅 Mar. 21, 2025: LB Willie Gay Jr. signs with the Dolphins.
- 📅 Mar 13, 2025: Miami signs LB K.J. Britt, RB Alexander Mattison, and re-signs OL Liam Eichenberg.
- 📅 Mar 12, 2025: The Dolphins sign QB Zach Wilson, G James Daniels, OL Larry Borom, DB Ifeatu Melifonwu, WR Nick Westrook-Ikhine, S Ashtyn Davis, and LB Tyrel Dodson. Miami also re-signs LB Quinton Bell, DB Elijah Campbell, OT Jackson Carman, and WR Dee Eskridge.
- 📅 Mar 10, 2025: DT Matt Dickerson re-signs with Miami.
- 📅 Feb 14, 2025: Miami releases CB Kendall Fuller, RB Raheem Mostert, and TE Durham Smythe.
- 📅 Jan. 25, 2025: The Dolphins hire Craig Aukerman to take over a struggling special teams.
Key Contributors Toward Dolphins Playoff Chances
With wide receiver Tyreek Hill (+3000 to win Offensive Player of the Year), and Tua Tagovailoa (+5000 to win MVP) still around, the Dolphins can mount a good offense. Jaylen Waddle returns as the receiver on the other side.
We expect De'Von Achane to have a stronger role in the offense this season and will likely take the next step in his development as the Miami power running game continues.
Bradley Chubb is back for Miami's defense and will continue to wreak havoc against opposing quarterbacks. Zach Sieler also returns and will look to be effective on the defensive side of the ball. It won't be easy, but the Dolphins have a solid roster that could lead them to the postseason in 2025.
Where Can I Bet on the Dolphins to Make the Playoffs?
Thanks to positive court rulings, Hard Rock Bet launched in 2023 across the state of Florida. The Seminole Tribe also allows in-person betting at their six casinos. Those who are 21 years or older and located in the state can bet on the Dolphins and every NFL team on the Hard Rock Bet app.
Miami Dolphins Playoff Picture and Predictions
The Dolphins must navigate a tough 2025 schedule to make the playoffs, matching up against the Buffalo Bills twice. Miami plays five other teams that made the playoffs last season. For a successful season, the Dolphins must first avoid a slow start. Then, they need to figure out how to beat playoff contenders to bolster their chances of winning the AFC East or making the playoffs as a wildcard.
Miami Dolphins Playoffs FAQs
The Dolphins' playoff chances are currently 39.2%. That number could go up or down depending on how they start the season and can fluctuate every week based on performance, and whether the Dolphins are racking up wins or losses.
No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs as the season has not started yet, so the Dolphins technically have as good a chance as anyone. Miami's odds before the start of the season are not favorable at +155.
The Miami Dolphins' odds to win the AFC East are +650, the second-longest odds in the division. Based on these odds, Miami has a 13.3% chance of winning the AFC East. The Buffalo Bills have the shortest odds to win the division.
Florida bettors can bet on the Dolphins to make the playoffs with the Hard Rock Bet Florida app. The app fully launched in 2023 and is available to those 21 years old or older in the state. Six Seminole-owned casinos also offer in-person sports betting.
Author
Mike Ferguson is a college football betting analyst for FloridaBet.com. Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Florida.
