What Are the Dolphins Playoff Chances?
The Dolphins' playoff chances are at 31.3% in the offseason. Miami has the second-longest odds to win the AFC East according to odds from Hard Rock Bet.
Below is a chart looking at the latest odds and data points related to the Dolphins' playoff picture, which I will update weekly as the odds change.
| 🔮 Dolphins Playoff Chances | 31.3% chance (+220) |
| ❌ Dolphins Miss Playoffs | 73.3% chance (-275) |
| 💪 Dolphins Win AFC East | 10.0% chance (+900) |
| 👑 Dolphins Win AFC | 2.84% chance (+4000) |
| 🏆 Dolphins Win Super Bowl 60 | 1.1% chance (+9000) |
| 📝 Dolphins Projected Win Total | O/U 8.5 (+150/-180) |
There isn't much optimism for the Dolphins' 2025 season, but Miami could surprise us all and be a winning team. If the Dolphins get off to a better start than last season, it could catapult the Dolphins' Super Bowl odds from pretenders to contenders.
As of right now, the Dolphins have the eighth-longest odds to win the Super Bowl at +9000, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. That means oddsmakers don't have much faith in Miami ahead of the season.
Dolphins' 2025 Schedule and Betting Odds
The Dolphins have five primetime games on their 2025 schedule, including some high-stakes matchups early in the season. In Week 3, they take on the Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football in a key AFC East showdown. The following week, Miami heads to New Jersey to face the Jets for Week 4's Monday Night Football. In Week 11, the Dolphins will take the international stage when they face the Washington Commanders in Madrid.
Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 @ Indianapolis Colts | +1.5 ML -108 | TBD |
| Week 2 vs. New England Patriots | -2.5 ML -135 | TBD |
| Week 3 @ Buffalo Bills | +8.5 ML +310 | TBD |
| Week 4 vs. New York Jets | -5.5 ML -230 | TBD |
| Week 5 @ Carolina Panthers | -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 6 vs. Los Angeles Chargers | +1.5 ML +100 | TBD |
| Week 7 @ Cleveland Browns | -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 8 @ Atlanta Falcons | +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 9 vs. Baltimore Ravens | +5.5 ML +190 | TBD |
| Week 10 vs. Buffalo Bills | +5.5 ML +185 | TBD |
| Week 11 vs. Washington Commanders | +4.5 ML +170 | TBD |
| Week 12 BYE WEEK | -- | -- |
| Week 13 vs. New Orleans Saints | -6 ML -238 | TBD |
| Week 14 @ New York Jets | -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 15 @ Pittsburgh Steelers | +2.5 ML +110 | TBD |
| Week 16 vs. Cincinnati Bengals | +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 17 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 18 @ New England Patriots | +2.5 ML +110 | TBD |
Do the Dolphins Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Dolphins have a chance to make the playoffs, as it is still the offseason. Preseason odds give Miami a 31.3% chance of advancing to the postseason. These odds will fluctuate once the season kicks off and throughout 2025. For Miami to clinch a playoff spot, they’ll likely need to secure a wild-card berth, as winning the AFC East will be a steep challenge with the Buffalo Bills leading the division. Even grabbing a wild-card spot won’t be easy in a stacked AFC filled with multiple playoff-caliber teams.
Are the Dolphins Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs. The 2025 season doesn’t kick off until September 4, so every team still has a shot. Based on -275 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, Miami has a 73.3% chance of missing the postseason. Their last playoff appearance was in the 2023-24 season. Advancing won’t be an easy task, especially in a competitive AFC. But with new playmakers on both sides of the ball, like Darren Waller and Minkah Fitzpatrick, the Dolphins could surprise us all this year.
Dolphins Playoff Chances: Key Updates August 2025
The Dolphins have high hopes for the 2025 season, even if oddsmakers don't necessarily see it that way.
Below, I will provide daily updates throughout the season:
- 📅 August 10: RB Alexander Mattison suffers a season-ending neck injury in the preseason game against the Bears.
- 📅 August 4: Miami signs TE Chris Myarick after placing TE Jalin Conyers on injured reserve.
- 📅 July 30: The Dolphins sign OL Jalen McKenzie after placing OL Obinna Eze on the injured reserve list.
- 📅 July 28: Cornerback Mike Hilton signs with Miami.
- 📅 July 24: Miami signs cornerback Cornell Armstrong and offensive lineman Obinna Eze.
- 📅 July 22: OL Daniel Brunskill signs with the Dolphins.
- 📅 July 1: The Dolphins acquire TE Darren Waller.
- 📅 June 30: Miami trades CB Jalen Ramsey and TE Jonnu Smith to Pittsburgh for S Minkah Fitzpatrick.
- 📅 June 5: DT Ben Stille signs with Miami.
- 📅 May 27: The Dolphins sign CB Ryan Cooper after CB Jason Maitre is placed on injured reserve.
- 📅 May 12: Miami signs CB Kendall Sheffield.
- 📅 April 24: The Dolphins draft Kenneth Grant with the 13th overall pick to help bolster their struggling defensive line.
- 📅 March 21: LB Willie Gay Jr. signs with the Dolphins.
- 📅 Mar 13: Miami signs LB K.J. Britt, RB Alexander Mattison, and re-signs OL Liam Eichenberg.
- 📅 March 12: The Dolphins sign QB Zach Wilson, G James Daniels, OL Larry Borom, DB Ifeatu Melifonwu, WR Nick Westrook-Ikhine, S Ashtyn Davis, and LB Tyrel Dodson. Miami also re-signs LB Quinton Bell, DB Elijah Campbell, OT Jackson Carman, and WR Dee Eskridge.
- 📅 March 10: DT Matt Dickerson re-signs with Miami.
- 📅 February 14: Miami releases CB Kendall Fuller, RB Raheem Mostert, and TE Durham Smythe.
- 📅 January 25: The Dolphins hire Craig Aukerman to take over a struggling special teams.
Key Contributors Toward Dolphins Playoff Chances
With wide receiver Tyreek Hill (+3000 to win Offensive Player of the Year), and Tua Tagovailoa (+6000 to win MVP) still leading the offense, the Dolphins have plenty of firepower. Jaylen Waddle returns as the top receiver on the other side, and Darren Waller joins as a new offensive weapon. De’Von Achane is expected to take on a bigger role this season, continuing his development as Miami’s power running game gains momentum.
On defense, Miami made a big splash by trading CB Jalen Ramsey and TE Jonnu Smith to Pittsburgh in exchange for safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, adding a key piece to their secondary. Bradley Chubb returns and will look to keep the pressure on opposing quarterbacks, while Zach Sieler aims to be a force on the defensive front.
The Dolphins shook up their roster this offseason, hoping these moves give them the edge they need to break back into the playoffs in 2025. It won’t be easy, but the pieces are in place for a competitive season.
Where Can I Bet on the Dolphins to Make the Playoffs?
Thanks to positive court rulings, Hard Rock Bet launched in 2023 across the state of Florida. The Seminole Tribe also allows in-person betting at their six casinos. Those who are 21 years or older and located in the state can bet on the Dolphins and every NFL team on the Hard Rock Bet app.
Miami Dolphins Playoff Picture and Predictions
The Dolphins face a challenging 2025 schedule, including two tough matchups against the Buffalo Bills and five other opponents who reached the playoffs last season. To make a postseason run, Miami will need to hit the ground running and avoid falling behind early. Veterans like Tyreek Hill and Darren Waller are expected to be offensive playmakers, while Minkah Fitzpatrick and Bradley Chubb will be key figures in a solid defense. The Fins have the talent to compete, but success will come down to finding ways to win against top-tier teams, whether that means edging out the Bills in the AFC East or securing a wildcard spot in a stacked conference.
Miami Dolphins Playoffs FAQs
The Dolphins’ playoff chances are currently 31.3%. That number could rise or fall depending on how the Fins start the season. Odds will shift weekly based on the team’s performance and whether Miami is racking up wins or losses.
No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs. It’s still too early to count them out since the season hasn’t even started yet. Technically, they have as good a shot as any team. That said, Miami’s preseason odds aren’t very favorable, sitting at +220.
The Miami Dolphins' odds to win the AFC East are +900, the second-longest odds in the division. Based on these odds, Miami has a 10.0% chance of winning the AFC East. The Buffalo Bills have the shortest odds to win the division.
Florida bettors can bet on the Dolphins to make the playoffs with the Hard Rock Bet Florida app. The app fully launched in 2023 and is available to those 21 years old or older in the state. Six Seminole-owned casinos also offer in-person sports betting.
Author
Mike Ferguson is a college football betting analyst for FloridaBet.com. Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Florida.
