Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances: Tracking the Dolphins Playoff Picture

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Tua Tagovailoa at Training Camp

Key Takeaways:

  • 📊 The Dolphins' playoff chances are at 39.2% before the start of the 2025 season. 
  • 📈 Miami's odds to win the AFC are +3500, the seventh-longest odds in the conference.
  • ⭐️ The Dolphins have a 13.3% chance to win the AFC East division.

Miami has many doubters entering the 2025 season after stumbling to an 8-9 record in 2024. A terrible 2-6 start doomed them, and the Fins were unable to recover. The Dolphins will attempt to bounce back and have a better 2025. The Dolphins kick off the season on the road, taking on the Indianapolis Colts on September 7.

Throughout the season, I'll update this page frequently to provide you with the latest Miami Dolphins odds for the 2025-26 season. Bookmark this page and stay tuned throughout the year.

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What Are the Dolphins Playoff Chances?

The Dolphins' playoff chances are at 39.2% in the offseason. Miami has the second-longest odds to win the AFC East according to odds from Hard Rock Bet

Below is a chart looking at the latest odds and data points related to the Dolphins' playoff picture, which I will update weekly as the odds change.

🔮 Dolphins Playoff Chances39.2% chance (+155)
Dolphins Miss Playoffs65.5% chance (-190)
💪 Dolphins Win AFC East13.3% chance (+650)
👑 Dolphins Win AFC2.8% chance (+3500)
🏆 Dolphins Win Super Bowl 601.2% chance (+8000)
📝 Dolphins Projected Win TotalO/U 8.5 (+150/-180)

There isn't much optimism for the Dolphins' 2025 season, but Miami could surprise us all and be a winning team. If the Dolphins get off to a better start than last season, it could catapult the Dolphins' Super Bowl odds from pretenders to contenders.

As of right now, the Dolphins have the 11th-longest odds to win the Super Bowl at +8000, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. That means oddsmakers don't have much faith in Miami this season.

Dolphins' 2025 Schedule and Betting Odds

The Dolphins will take on the Washington Commanders in Week 11 for an international game in Madrid. Miami has five primetime games in the 2025 season, including a TNF divisional matchup against the Buffalo Bills in Week 5.

Week

Line

Result 

Week 1 @ Indianapolis Colts

+1.5 ML +100

TBD

Week 2 vs. New England Patriots

-2.5 ML -142

TBD

Week 3 @ Buffalo Bills

+8.5 ML +300

TBD

Week 4 vs. New York Jets

-5.5 ML -230

TBD

Week 5 @ Carolina Panthers

-1.5 ML -120

TBD

Week 6 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

+1.5 ML +100

TBD

Week 7 @ Cleveland Browns

-1.5 ML -120

TBD

Week 8 @ Atlanta Falcons

+1.5 ML +102

TBD

Week 9 vs. Baltimore Ravens 

+5.5 ML +190

TBD

Week 10 vs. Buffalo Bills

+5.5 ML +185

TBD

Week 11 vs. Washington Commanders

+4.5 ML +170

TBD

Week 12 BYE WEEK

--

--

Week 13 vs. New Orleans Saints

-6 ML -238

TBD

Week 14 @ New York Jets

-1.5 ML -120

TBD

Week 15 @ Pittsburgh Steelers

+2.5 ML +110

TBD

Week 16 vs. Cincinnati Bengals

+1.5 ML +102

TBD

Week 17 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+1.5 ML +102

TBD

Week 18 @ New England Patriots

+2.5 ML +110

TBD

Do the Dolphins Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Dolphins have a chance to make the playoffs, as it is still the offseason. Preseason odds give the Dolphins a 39.2% chance of advancing to the playoffs. These odds will fluctuate once the season kicks off and throughout the 2025 season.

Are the Dolphins Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs. The 2025 season will not kick off until September 5, so every team has a chance to make the playoffs. Based on -190 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Miami Dolphins have a 65.5% chance of missing the postseason. Miami's last playoff appearance was in the 2023-2024 season.

Dolphins Playoff Chances: Key Updates July 2025

The Dolphins have high hopes for the 2025 season, even if oddsmakers don't necessarily see it that way. 

Below, I will provide daily updates throughout the season:

  • 📅 May 27, 2025: The Dolphins sign CB Ryan Cooper after CB Jason Maitre is placed on injured reserve.
  • 📅 May 12, 2025: Miami signs CB Kendall Sheffield.
  • 📅 Apr. 25, 2025: The Dolphins draft Kenneth Grant with the 13th overall pick to help bolster their struggling defensive line.
  • 📅 Mar. 11, 2025: Miami re-signs CB Kader Kohou.
  • 📅 Mar. 21, 2025: LB Willie Gay Jr. signs with the Dolphins.
  • 📅 Mar 13, 2025: Miami signs LB K.J. Britt, RB Alexander Mattison, and re-signs OL Liam Eichenberg.
  • 📅 Mar 12, 2025: The Dolphins sign QB Zach Wilson, G James Daniels, OL Larry Borom, DB Ifeatu Melifonwu, WR Nick Westrook-Ikhine, S Ashtyn Davis, and LB Tyrel Dodson. Miami also re-signs LB Quinton Bell, DB Elijah Campbell, OT Jackson Carman, and WR Dee Eskridge.
  • 📅 Mar 10, 2025: DT Matt Dickerson re-signs with Miami.
  • 📅 Feb 14, 2025: Miami releases CB Kendall Fuller, RB Raheem Mostert, and TE Durham Smythe.
  • 📅 Jan. 25, 2025: The Dolphins hire Craig Aukerman to take over a struggling special teams.

Key Contributors Toward Dolphins Playoff Chances

With wide receiver Tyreek Hill (+3000 to win Offensive Player of the Year), and Tua Tagovailoa (+5000 to win MVP) still around, the Dolphins can mount a good offense. Jaylen Waddle returns as the receiver on the other side.

We expect De'Von Achane to have a stronger role in the offense this season and will likely take the next step in his development as the Miami power running game continues.

Bradley Chubb is back for Miami's defense and will continue to wreak havoc against opposing quarterbacks. Zach Sieler also returns and will look to be effective on the defensive side of the ball. It won't be easy, but the Dolphins have a solid roster that could lead them to the postseason in 2025.

Where Can I Bet on the Dolphins to Make the Playoffs?

Thanks to positive court rulings, Hard Rock Bet launched in 2023 across the state of Florida. The Seminole Tribe also allows in-person betting at their six casinos. Those who are 21 years or older and located in the state can bet on the Dolphins and every NFL team on the Hard Rock Bet app.

Miami Dolphins Playoff Picture and Predictions

The Dolphins must navigate a tough 2025 schedule to make the playoffs, matching up against the Buffalo Bills twice. Miami plays five other teams that made the playoffs last season. For a successful season, the Dolphins must first avoid a slow start. Then, they need to figure out how to beat playoff contenders to bolster their chances of winning the AFC East or making the playoffs as a wildcard.

Miami Dolphins Playoffs FAQs

Author

Mike Ferguson

Mike Ferguson is a college football betting analyst for FloridaBet.com. Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Florida.

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