What Are the Dolphins Playoff Chances?
The Dolphins' playoff chances are .66%. Miami has some of the longest odds to win the AFC, according to odds from Hard Rock Bet, and their odds are not great across the board.
We will update the Dolphins' odds for next season when they become available.
| 🔮 Dolphins Playoff Chances | 5.41% |
| 💪 Dolphins Win AFC East | .66% |
| 👑 Dolphins Win AFC | .5% |
| 🏆 Dolphins Win Super Bowl 61 | .1% |
| 📝 Dolphins Projected Win Total | O/U 2.5 (-130/+110) |
There wasn't much optimism for the Dolphins’ 2025 season. The Dolphins were on a five-game winning streak when they fell to the Steelers in Week 15, eliminating them from the playoffs and removing their Dolphins' Super Bowl odds from top sportsbooks such as FanDuel Sportsbook.
Dolphins' 2026 Schedule and Betting Odds
The Dolphins opened the 2026 season on the road, traveling to Las Vegas in Week 1 before heading to Santa Clara in Week 2 to face the 49ers, then hosting their home opener in Week 3 against Kansas City. Miami's bye falls in Week 6, and the season closes at New England, with new head coach Jeff Hafley and QB Malik Willis leading a heavily retooled roster.
Do the Dolphins Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, Miami does have a chance to make the playoffs. But it is very low, as oddsmakers currently give them a 5.41% chance based on +1750 odds.
Are the Dolphins Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs. But with a 0-3 start, things don't look good early.
Dolphins Playoff Chances: Key Updates October 2026
The Dolphins
Below, I will provide roster updates throughout the season:
- 📅 September 27: Miami falls to the Chiefs and is now 0-3.
- 📅 September 20: Miami falls to the 49ers and is now 0-2.
- 📅 December 12: Miami signs CB Isaiah Johnson to the active roster, places LB Caleb Johnson on injured reserve, and fires OLB coach Ryan Crow.
- 📅 December 11: The Dolphins designate C Andrew Meyer to return from injured reserve.
- 📅 November 19: Miami signs CB A.J. Green to the active roster and places CB JuJu Brents on injured reserve.
- 📅 November 12: The Dolphins designate OT Austin Jackson to return from injured reserve.
- 📅 November 2: Miami acquires a 2026 third-round draft pick from Philadelphia in exchange for LB Jaelan Phillips.
- 📅 October 1: The Dolphins place wide receiver Tyreek Hill on the injured reserve list.
- 📅 September 13: Miami places OL Austin Jackson on injured reserve.
- 📅 September 9: The Dolphins sign offensive lineman Cole Strange to the active roster off Cleveland's practice squad and place offensive lineman James Daniels on the injured reserve list.
- 📅 August 27: Miami places OL Liam Eichenberg on the PUP list and C Andrew Meyer and K Jason Sanders on injured reserve.
- 📅 August 10: RB Alexander Mattison suffers a season-ending neck injury in the preseason game against the Bears.
- 📅 August 4: Miami signs TE Chris Myarick after placing TE Jalin Conyers on injured reserve.
- 📅 July 1: The Dolphins acquire TE Darren Waller.
- 📅 June 30: Miami trades CB Jalen Ramsey and TE Jonnu Smith to Pittsburgh for S Minkah Fitzpatrick.
- 📅 April 24: The Dolphins draft Kenneth Grant with the 13th overall pick to help bolster their struggling defensive line.
- 📅 March 21: LB Willie Gay Jr. signs with the Dolphins.
- 📅 Mar 13: Miami signs LB K.J. Britt, RB Alexander Mattison, and re-signs OL Liam Eichenberg.
- 📅 March 10: DT Matt Dickerson re-signs with Miami.
- 📅 January 25: The Dolphins hire Craig Aukerman to take over a struggling special teams.
Key Contributors Toward Dolphins Playoff Chances
The 2026 Dolphins are widely viewed as being in a full rebuild rather than a playoff push, having released Tua Tagovailoa and traded Jaylen Waddle in the offseason under new head coach Jeff Hafley. Realistic playoff hopes hinge almost entirely on QB Malik Willis proving he's more than a stopgap, along with improvement from the offensive line, wide receivers, and pass rush/coverage units. Rookies like Kadyn Proctor, Chris Johnson, Jacob Rodriguez, Caleb Douglas, Will Kacmarek, and Chris Bell, plus recent picks such as Chop Robinson and Patrick Paul, are the young pieces the team is counting on to become core contributors. Most oddsmakers and analysts project Miami to finish around 3-14 to 5-12, missing the postseason for a third straight year, with success this season measured more by development than by wins.
Where Can I Bet on the Dolphins to Make the Playoffs?
Thanks to positive court rulings, Hard Rock Bet launched in 2023 across the state of Florida. The Seminole Tribe also allows in-person betting at their six casinos. Those who are 21 years or older and located in the state can bet on the Dolphins and every NFL team on the Hard Rock Bet app.
Miami Dolphins Playoff Picture and Predictions
Realistically, the Miami Dolphins aren't viewed as playoff contenders in 2026 — most sportsbooks and analysts project a record between 3-14 and 5-12, marking a third straight season missing the postseason. The team is in a clear rebuild under first-year head coach Jeff Hafley after releasing Tua Tagovailoa and trading Jaylen Waddle, so success this year will be measured by young player development (rookies like Chris Bell and Jacob Rodriguez, plus QB Malik Willis) rather than wins or playoff positioning. Making the playoffs would require a surprising turnaround, since Miami's schedule is loaded with 2025 playoff teams or projected contenders, with Las Vegas, Minnesota, Indianapolis, and the Jets seen as the only clearly "winnable" matchups.
Miami Dolphins Playoffs FAQs
The Dolphins’ playoff chances are 5.41%, based on +1750 odds. This indicates that oddsmakers don't feel strongly about the Dolphins' chances' of making the playoffs this season, especially after a bad start to their season, and things don't look promising.
No, the Dolphins are not out of the playoffs yet, as the season is weeks old. While the season is still young, they haven't started well, and the Dolphins would need a massive run to become playoff contenders this season.
The Miami Dolphins’ odds to win the AFC East are +20000, or .5%. This highlights that oddsmakers do not feel they can win the AFC East, especially with the Buffalo Bills at the top, and the New England Patriots also threatening.
Florida bettors can bet on the Dolphins and other NFL teams to make the playoffs with the Hard Rock Bet Florida app. The app fully launched in 2023 and is available to those 21 years old or older in the state. Six Seminole-owned casinos also offer in-person sports betting.
Author
Mike Ferguson is a college football betting analyst for FloridaBet.com. Mike spends his days browsing the latest lines for all the top college football betting markets to find storylines curated specifically for sports bettors in Florida.
