Betting Experts Tracking the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds: Week 4

Fact Checked by Shannon Lane
Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds

Key Takeaways:

  • 📊 The Buccaneers' Super Bowl odds are +8000, which have lengthened from +7000 as a result of their loss to the Eagles in Week 3.
  • 🏆 Using implied probability, the Buccaneers have a 1.23% chance to win Super Bowl LVIII.
  • 📉 Tampa Bay sits in third in the NFC South to win the division - the most likely way a team from the NFC South will clinch a playoff spot.

Three weeks into the season, the Bucs are 2-1 and one of the more surprising stories in the NFC this season.

After two wins over the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears, the Bucs suffered an expected loss to the Philadelphia Eagles 25-11. Despite the loss to Philadelphia, their playoff odds actually improved, but the Bucs Super Bowl odds went from +7000 to +8000. With that being said, the only way to make the Super Bowl is by first qualifying for the playoffs, and as long as they can continue to find ways to win they may find themselves in the playoff hunt, where anything can happen.

I'll track the Buccaneers' playoff chances and Super Bowl odds all season long, so bookmark this page to check for weekly changes to the Bucs' postseason hopes.

Buccaneers Super Bowl 58 Odds: Week 4

As of Week 4, the Buccaneers' Super Bowl odds are +8000, per DraftKings Sportsbook. Here are some other odds to consider when it comes to the Bucs' Lombardi hopes.

🏆 Odds to Win SBLVIII+8000
👑 Odds to Win NFC+4500
Odds to Win NFC South+320
🔥 Odds to Make Playoffs+130
Odds to Miss Playoffs-160
Data Verified by ExpertSeptember 27, 2023

The Bucs odds of making the playoffs have jumped more than 100% since the beginning the season, and even improved slightly after a loss to the Eagles on Monday Night Football.

After starting the season with just a 20% chance to make the playoffs, they are very close to coin-flip odds at 43.5%. The NFC South does not look to have a dominant team, and with the way the Buccaneers have played defense, they are still a formidable team.

The Bucs did have their Super Bowl chances drop from +7000 to +8000 after the loss, which is to be expected when you lose to the former NFC Champions.

Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds vs. NFC South

The Buccaneers' Super Bowl odds rank third in the NFC South, with the New Orleans Saints at +3000 and the Atlanta Falcons at +4000. Neither team has looked particularly good this season despite their 2-1 record, so it is a bit surprising to see such a disparity. The Carolina Panthers have the third worst odds in the NFL at +20000, which is probably a bit generous considering the product they have put on the field through the first three weeks of the season.

It's quite likely there will only be one NFC South team represented in this year's playoffs, with that team being the division winner. If Tampa Bay is to make a playoff run, it starts by winning the NFC South.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

Here's a look at the Buccaneers' weekly Super Bowl odds which will be updated following each week's game. Be sure to bookmark this page to keep up with everything happening concerning Tampa Bay's Super Bowl odds.

WeekBucs Super Bowl 58 Odds
Week 1 +8000
Week 2       +7500
Week 3+7000
Week 4+8000

After two straight weeks of improvement, the Bucs have seen their 2024 Super Bowl odds fall back to where they were heading into Week 1 at +8000. We have yet to see an NFC South team make a strong case as the clear cut frontrunner of the division, so if Tampa Bay can keep a winning record throughout the season, they have a good shot of making it to the playoffs where anything can happen.

Latest Updates Impacting Buccaneers Odds to Win SB LVIII

The Bucs are likely going to be in rebuilding mode and will have a number of major changes on the offensive side of the ball.

  • 📅 June 15: The Bucs sign kicker Rodrigo Blakenship after cutting Ryan Succop earlier in the offseason.
  • 📆 June 13: Former first-round pick LB Devin White reports for the start of Bucs' minicamp but does not participate.
  • 📅 June 1: Former Bucs QB Tom Brady confirms he's staying retired for good this offseason.
  • 📆 April 27: The Bucs draft Pittsburgh DL Calijah Kancey in the first round (No. 19) of the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • 📅 April 11: White requests a trade. GM Jason Licht says later that week that the Bucs have no intention of trading White.
  • 📆 March 23: ILB Lavonte David is re-signed to a one-year contract, while kicker Ryan Succop is released.
  • 📅 March 16: Former No. 1 overall pick Baker Mayfield joins the Bucs on a one-year contract.
  • 📅 Feb. 1: Brady announces his retirement after 23 seasons, three of which were played with the Buccaneers.
  • 📅 Jan. 19: The Bucs part ways with offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich, among other coaching assistants.

Bookmark this page and check back often as we will constantly be updating with all off-season moves the Bucs make.

Tampa Bay Schedule and Betting Lines

The Buccaneers schedule was released in May 2023, and DraftKings Sportsbook has assigned game lines to Tampa Bay's upcoming matchups this season. Here's a look at where point spreads and moneylines currently stand for the Bucs:

📅 Week 1 @ Minnesota Vikings (W, 20-17)🏈 Buccaneers +6.5, ML +230
📅 Week 2 vs. Chicago Bears(W, 27-17)🏈 Buccaneers -3, ML -142
📅 Week 3 vs. PHI (L, 25-11)🏈 Buccaneers +4.5, ML +170
📅 Week 4 @ New Orleans Saints🏈 Buccaneers +3, ML +130
📅 Week 5🏈 BYE
📅 Week 6 vs. Detroit Lions🏈 Buccaneers +3.5, ML +155
📅 Week 7 vs. Atlanta Falcons🏈 Buccaneers +1, ML -105
📅 Week 8 @ BUF (Thursday Night Football)🏈 Buccaneers +10, ML +370
📅 Week 9 @ Houston Texans🏈 Buccaneers +1, ML -105
📅 Week 10 vs. Tennessee Titans🏈 Buccaneers +1, ML -105
📅 Week 11 @ San Francisco 49ers🏈 Buccaneers +7.5, ML +265
📅 Week 12 @ Indianapolis Colts🏈 Buccaneers +1, ML -105
📅 Week 13 vs. Carolina Panthers🏈 Buccaneers -1, ML -115
📅 Week 14 @ Atlanta Falcons🏈 Buccaneers +3, ML +140
📅 Week 15 @ Green Bay Packers🏈 Buccaneers +3.5, ML +145
📅 Week 16 vs. JAX (Christmas Eve)🏈 Buccaneers +3.5, ML +155
📅 Week 17 vs. NO (New Year's Eve)🏈 Buccaneers +1.5, ML +100
📅 Week 18 @ Carolina Panthers🏈 Buccaneers +2.5, ML +110
Data Verified by ExpertSeptember 27, 2023

At 2-1, the Bucs are certainly doing better than expected, whereas oddsmakers had the Bucs at 0-3 before the season started based on individual game lines. A win over the Vikings was unexpected and odds have started to move a bit closer in future games as the Bucs do have a strong defense, and still some potent weapons on offense.

Thanks to their strong overall performance early on, along with an injury to Derek Carr for New Orleans, the spread has been dropping for the Week 4 matchup between Tampa Bay and the Saints. After opening as 4 point underdogs, the spread has dropped to 3. This has also shifted the moneyline from +180 to +130.

The Bucs loss to Philly was expected, and they still have some tough games against the San Francisco 49ers, Buffalo Bills, and Detroit Lions. However, the NFC South looks open as no team has separated themselves from the pack, and teams like the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans are more toss-ups than they were in the pre-season.

Key Contributors Toward Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds

The Buccaneers, despite long odds, still do have quite a bit of familiar talent on their roster, led by two top wide receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. The two comprise one of the best tandems in the NFL and they should be expected to still be major offensive threats. Evans has been a consistent 1,000+ yard wide receiver every year since he has been in the NFL, while Godwin also had over 1,000 yards last season. That is a continued bright spot by the Pewter and Red.

The Bucs did name Baker Mayfield as the starting quarterback before week three of the preseason, replacing Tom Brady, and beating out his back-up Kyle Trask, and expectations are wishy-washy on his expected performance this season. 

The Bucs will have to rely more on running back Rachaad White, who will look to make up the lost 600+ yards left by Leonard Fournette's departure - and will need to improve drastically from his week one 39 yards. The Bucs did exercise their option on offensive lineman Tristan Wirfs and drafted North Dakota State' offensive lineman Cody Maunch, to give Mayfield extra time in the pocket.

The Bucs made a few additions to their defense and re-signed linebacker Lavonte David, which should allow them to continue to be good enough to keep the Bucs in the game. Their first-round draft pick, Calijah Kancey, should beef up the defensive end position, and third-round rookie linebacker YaYa Diaby should see quite a bit of playing time.

There were a number of coaching changes, mainly on offense, along with a major quarterback change, so it may be a bit before we see some cohesion. However, despite the long odds, the Bucs are not a bad team on paper; they will just need their defense to give them a shot each week and hope the offense has enough fire power to score enough points to win the game.


Where Can I Bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Win the Super Bowl?

You can bet on Tampa Bay on any of the major sportsbooks that are available in your state and where it is legal. Unfortunately for residents of Florida, sports betting is still not legal in the Sunshine State, though there have been some promising signs of progress in 2023. 

All of the major Florida sportsbooks have coalesced around similar odds for Tampa winning the Super Bowl, but each are ever changing so check back here often as we will update them for you.

As Florida sports betting continues to advance, Florida's Hard Rock Bet will be one to watch. The Seminole Tribe of Florida owns the Hard Rock brand, including hotels, casinos, and sportsbooks. If the 2021 Florida Seminole Gaming Compact is allowed to stand by Florida courts, the tribe will have exclusive oversight of the state's sports betting.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2024 Super Bowl Outlook and Predictions

The Buccaneers' playoff outlook still is not rosy - despite the 2-1 start - because the problems that we knew would exist have manifested themselves.

Who is Baker Mayfield and what will he be this year? He did just enough against Minnesota, had a stellar game against the Bears, and struggled against the Eagles. Three games - three different Baker Mayfield performances.

Further, their offensive rushing attack has been nearly non-existent with running back Rachaad White only rushing for 150 total yards in three games.

Their defense is, of course, stout and likely playing better than expected. But is that enough to win enough games to make the playoffs, let alone the Super Bowl, over 17 games? Probably not.

The Bucs do have the benefit of playing in a division without a true contender and unless those teams get markedly better, each of those games is at least a toss-up and with six division wins along with the two that they have - who knows? Is that likely? No. But a few weeks ago no one thought the Bucs would be 2-1 with their odds of making the playoffs increasing.

Buccaneers Super Bowl History

Tampa Bay joined the NFL in 1976 and for years struggled to maintain much, if any, sustained success. The Bucs first sniffed major success in 2002, winning their first NFC Championship and, ultimately, winning their first Super Bowl under head coach Jon Gruden against the then-Oakland Raiders. The Bucs continued to winning a few more division titles before falling back to earth post-2007.

In 2020, the Bucs again were on the top of the NFL signing future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady and immediately winning Super Bowl LV in Tampa Bay against the Kansas City Chiefs, becoming the first team to win the Super Bowl in their hometown.

Have the Buccaneers Ever Won the Super Bowl?

Yes, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers has won the Super Bowl twice. The Bucs have won two Super Bowls since 1976: during the 2002 season and during the 2020 season. The Bucs are tied for 11th in the NFL with two Super Bowl wins. They have won both Super Bowls they have participated in and are one of just four teams that are undefeated in Super Bowls.

How Many Super Bowls Have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Won?

The Tampa Bay Bucs have won two Super Bowls: XXXVII (2002-03) and LV (2020-21). They beat the then-Oakland Raiders 48-21 and the Kansas City Chiefs 31-9.

Which Years Did the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Go to the Super Bowl?

The Bucs went to Super Bowl XXXVII in the 2002-03 season in San Diego and Super Bowl LV in the 2020-21 season in Tampa Bay.

  • 🏆 Super Bowl LV (2020-21): Buccaneers 31, Kansas City Chiefs 9
  • 🏆 Super Bowl XXXVII (2002-03): Buccaneers 48, Oakland Raiders 21

Tampa Bay won their first Super Bowl in San Diego against the Oakland Raiders. Bucs head coach Jon Gruden was facing his former team, which had just traded him to the Bucs before the 2002-03 NFL season, in a game colloquially called the "Gruden Bowl." 

The Bucs dominated the game, including forcing 5 interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. Dexter Jackson was the MVP, making him just the second safety and third defensive player to win the Super Bowl MVP.

The Bucs then returned to the Super Bowl in 2020-21 season during the COVID-19 pandemic. The Bucs laded future Hall of Famer Tom Brady in the offseason, running back Leonard Fournette, and tight end Rob Gronkowski to aid their stout defense. 

After going 11-5 in the regular season and earning a playoff spot, the Bucs marched their way through the NFC to Super Bowl LV, which was held in their home stadium. The Bucs won the game 31-9, outscoring Kansas City 24-6 in second and third quarters. Brady was named MVP, his fifth career Super Bowl MVP award.

How Many Times Have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Been to the NFC Championship Game?

The Bucs have made the NFC Championship four times and have a 2-2 record.

  • 2020-21: Buccaneers 31, Green Bay Packers 26
  • 2002-03: Buccaneers 27, Philadelphia Eagles 10
  • 2000-01: St. Louis Rams 11, Buccaneers 6
  • 1979-80: Los Angeles Rams 9, Buccaneers 0

Buccaneers Preseason Super Bowl Odds Every Year Since 2000

The Buccaneers Super Bowl odds are currently +8000, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. These odds are inline with how historically the Bucs have been over the last twenty years, minus a few years where they were led by strong quarterbacking. Here's a look at the Buccaneers preseason odds from past years.

📆 2022-2023Preseason Odds = +750
📆 2021-2022Preseason Odds = +700
📆 2020-2021Preseason Odds = +1000
📆 2019-2020Preseason Odds = +10000
📆 2018-2019Preseason Odds = +30000
📆 2017-2018Preseason Odds = +4000
📆 2016-2017Preseason Odds = +8000
📆 2015-2016Preseason Odds = +10000
📆 2014-2015Preseason Odds = +10000
📆 2013-2014Preseason Odds = +5000
📆 2012-2013Preseason Odds = +10000
📆 2011-2012Preseason Odds = +6600
📆 2010-2011Preseason Odds = +15000
📆 2009-2010Preseason Odds = +6600
📆 2008-2009Preseason Odds = +3500
📆 2007-2008Preseason Odds = +5000
📆 2006-2007Preseason Odds = +3000
📆 2005-2006Preseason Odds = +7000
📆 2004-2005Preseason Odds = +1000
📆 2003-2004Preseason Odds = +800
📆 2002-2003Preseason Odds = +1200
📆 2001-2002Preseason Odds = +600
📆 2000-2001Preseason Odds = +700

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl FAQs


Dan Thompson is a Lead Betting Analyst for Dan's unique experience makes him the perfect fit to find the latest storylines and interesting betting angles impacting Florida sports betting.

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