Buccaneers vs Saints Odds Week 17: Who Is Favored To Win This NFC South Rivalry?

Fact Checked by Brandon Justice

Key Takeaways:

  • The next matchup between the Bucs and the Saints is Sunday December 31st, 2023 in Tampa Bay.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are currently 2 point favorites over the Saints.
  • In their last match-up on Oct. 1, the Buccaneers beat the Saints 26-9 on the road.

As the only two teams in the NFC South that have won a Super Bowl, the Bucs and the Saints have had their fair share of jostling to win the division and maintain supremacy, as the last six champions of the division have been these two teams. We will explore the Florida sports betting angles for this season's matchups of two very different teams from the last year.

Buccaneers vs Saints Odds: Who Is Favored To Win?

Currently, the Saints are favored to win by 5.5 points, meaning the Buccaneers would have to win by at least six points to cover the spread.

Buccaneers-2 (-110)O 41.5 (-110)+110
Saints+2 (-110)U 41.5 (-110)-130

As 2-point favorites, the Bucs are expected to beat the Saints. At the beginning of the 2023 season, the Bucs were only favored in one game but have managed to remain competitive. The Saints are currently the favorites to win the division, so the spread and expectation should not be a surprise to most who watch the NFL. 

🗣️ Buccaneers Playoff Chances

Latest Buccaneers vs Saints Odds, Updates, & News

While the Bucs boast back-to-back division titles, the Saints are the current favorite to win the division and seemed to have found the missing piece that should bring them back to NFC contendership, while the Bucs, well, they have a whole host of unknowns heading into the season

  • February 1, 2023: Tom Brady, former Tampa Bay Bucs quarterback and future hall of famer, announced his retirement.
  • February 3, 2023: The Saints traded former head coach Sean Payton to the Denver Broncos. Payton had not been with the team in 2022 after stepping down after the 2021 season. In return, the Broncos sent their first-round draft pick, amongst other picks, to the Saints, which New Orleans used to draft Clemson defense end Bryan Bresee.
  • March 6, 2023: The Saints signed former Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr to a four-year, $150 million contract.
  • March 15, 2023: The Bucs resigned Pro Bowl linebacker Lavonte David to a one-year deal.
  • August 10, 2023: The Bucs signed former New Orleans Saints All-Pro linebacker Jaylon Smith to bolster their defense.

🗣️ Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds


Buccaneers vs Saints Spread: What The Spread Tells Us

Currently, the spread tells us that oddsmakers believe the Saints are significantly more equipped at the beginning of the season to win this matchup. At 5.5 points, just under a touchdown, the Saints are likely being rewarded for having more stability at the quarterback position and that the Bucs, being underdogs in 16 of their 17 games this season, are not expected to put a quality product on the field this season.

Buccaneers vs Saints Line: What The Moneyline Tells Us

The moneyline is currently: Saints -230, Bucs +190. At -230, the Saints are expected to win the game and it is, as of this publication, the third longest moneyline for October 1st games. A moneyline indicates expected straight-up winners and losers, and the further they are from +100/-100 indicates how strong oddsmakers feel about the win.

Buccaneers' Chances To Win vs Saints

The Buccaneers still have a lot of unknown answers to their many questions. While they have some talent on both sides of the ball, there are questions at quarterbacks, which is the most important position on the field. This years iteration of the Bucs is very different than last season as they purged quite a bit of their roster and lost a number of veterans. It is too early to know how the Bucs might look throughout the season, and as they still work out their kinks, they may be a very different team against the Saints in game one early in the season than the team that plays them again in December.

How Tampa Bay Beats New Orleans

Tampa Bay can beat New Orleans by playing stout defense and by not turning the football over. The Bucs defense, which should be one of the top-15 defenses in the league again, will have to contain Saints quarterback Derek Carr and limit their ability to score, and most importantly, they cannot have them score quickly as the Bucs are not built for a shootout. Now that the Bucs have decide to start Baker Mayfield, they will have to figure out how to get the ball to their dynamic duo at wide receiver in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin - a task that has oft plagued the signal caller in the NFL. The Bucs won a lot of football games last year because of their defense, as the Tampa Bay offense ranked 25th in the NFL, so it's not super far-fetched to believe they can do it again.

How New Orleans Beats Tampa Bay

New Orleans will beat Tampa Bay by forcing Bucs to make mistakes and turning the ball over, but even more so, they are simply the more talented team. The Bucs should have a good defense, but the Saints have a great quarterback, offensive weapons, and an ability to move the ball, but on the opposite side of the ball, the Bucs offense will likely be forcing the ball to wide receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin behind Baker Mayfield. Mayfield, in his first year with the Bucs, is a former number-one draft pick that has not panned out to expectation in the NFL and is prone to turnovers. The Bucs were putrid on offense with a future hall-of-famer at quarterback, so could it be even worse? Potentially. If the Saints go out, use their playmakers, and limit mistakes, they should be expected to win, and maybe, even win big.

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History of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Games

The Bucs and Saints squared off for the first time in 1977 in a game that the Bucs won 33-14. From their first game in 1977 until 2002, the Bucs and Saints were just another game on the schedule for one another. However, in 2002 the Bucs and Saints moved into the same division and have been battling for bragging rights ever since. Over the last 20 years, they've won three combined Super Bowls, three combined NFC Championships, and 15 overall playoff appearances.

Buccaneers Record vs Saints

The New Orleans Saints have spent much of their collective time in the NFL dominating the match-up with an overall record of 39-24 dating all the way back to their first game in 1977. Despite winning the last two games last season, over the last 10 games the Saints have won seven of those games. This game has major implications for the division as the Saints have won seven division titles (the most in the division), while the Bucs have won five (tied for second in the division)

All-Time Best Buccaneers vs Saints Games

Game 1: January 17, 2021

The only time the Bucs and the Saints have met in the playoffs matched two future hall of famers at quarterback - Tom Brady (Bucs) and Drew Brees (Saints). After sweeping the series during the regular season, the Saints threw three interceptions and star wide receiver Michael Thomas was held to zero catches, in a 30-20 loss, the ultimately put the Bucs in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers and then to a Super Bowl victory in Tampa Bay at Super Bowl LV. This was also the final game of Drew Brees' illustrious career.

Game 2: December 11, 1977

When Tampa Bay entered the NFL in 1976, they proceeded to winless for the next 26 games - until the met the New Orleans Saints for game 27. The Bucs intercepted Saints quarterback Archie Manning three times returning two of them for touchdowns in a game that wasn't even as close as the 33-14 final score.

Game 3: December 6, 1987

When the Saints beat the Bucs 44-34 moving to 9-3 on the season, the Saints clinched their first playoff birth in 20 seasons in the NFL and their first-ever winning season. Since then, the Saints have had the 11th-best record in the NFL and have had 16 winning seasons since, but it had to start somewhere and it did on this fateful December day.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints FAQ:


Dan Thompson is a Lead Betting Analyst for FloridaBet.com. Dan's unique experience makes him the perfect fit to find the latest storylines and interesting betting angles impacting Florida sports betting.

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