Ron DeSantis won re-election for Florida Governor in a landslide against Democrat Charlie Crist in November, and he is now in the the race to become the next President.
What are his odds to win against Donald Trump and Joe Biden in 2024?
We cover all that and more in this ultimate guide to betting on Ron DeSantis odds.
Latest Ron DeSantis 2024 Odds To Be President
Ron DeSantis odds are currently listed at +550 to be the Next President of the United States, which implies a 15.4% chance Governor DeSantis is elected President in 2024. His odds got slightly longer in the weeks since he officially announced his Presidential bid, dropping from +500 in May. In January 2023, Ron DeSantis led the pack of potential presidential candidates, hovering between 30-35% implied probability.
Ron DeSantis has officially announced his candidacy for President. He announced his campaign with Twitter owner/exec Elon Musk on Twitter Spaces on May 24 and has been making campaign stops around the country in South Carolina, New Hampshire and Iowa.
Throughout his speeches, he has maintained it will take eight years in office to implement his policies, a veiled reference to former President Donald Trump, who can only serve one more term. Conversely, Trump has claimed he can install his agenda in his first six months if elected again. The two GOP candidates have continued to take swipes at each other in the last few weeks as the 2024 campaign trail ramps up.
In September of 2022, DeSantis' odds were tied with Trump's for a few days but only because Trump's odds worsened. Despite facing an indictment and numerous legal allegations, Trump saw his odds improve recently. As a result, DeSantis' odds of winning the next presidency have slipped behind the Former GOP President.
Overall, it's clear whoever does end up the GOP nominee next cycle will run a competitive race against Joe Biden. The incumbent continues to hold as the 2024 betting favorite after increasing his chances to winning to 40% (+150) after making his official presidential campaign announcement.
Worth noting, Florida sports betting is currently prohibited, including betting on politics. Odds used are from Ladbrokes Sportsbook in the UK, where betting on politics is legal and regulated.
Key Developments for Ron DeSantis Odds to be President
There have been some key developments impacting 2024 presidential election odds. Below, we've laid out those key developments to give more context to how we got here.
- 📆 June 5, 2023: Former VP Mike Pence files to run for president in 2024 against Trump, who he served under from 2016-2020.
- 📆 June 2, 2023: A federal judge overseeing the First Amendment lawsuit that Walt Disney Parks filed against DeSantis is recusing himself.
- 📆 May 24, 2023: DeSantis officially files to run for president and announces his campaign on Twitter Spaces with Elon Musk.
- 📆 May 22, 2023: South Carolina Senator Tim Scott announces his 2024 Presidential Campaign.
- 📆 May 16, 2023: Reports that DeSantis is going to announce his 2024 campaign for President by the end of May are gaining momentum after DeSantis made a pit stop in Iowa where he told supporters, "We must reject the culture of losing that has impacted our party in recent years. The time for excuses is over."
- 📆 May 2, 2023: Florida legislature passes a bill that includes an exemption to allow representatives to run for U.S. President or Vice President without resigning from their current office. The bill will now go to DeSantis to sign into law.
- 📆 April 26, 2023: Walt Disney Company filed a lawsuit against DeSantis, state officials, and the board appointed to oversee government services at Disney World minutes after the board voted to nullify a Disney expansion. Disney claims this is "a targeted campaign of government retaliation."
- 📆 April 25, 2023: President Joe Biden makes his official re-election campaign announcement.
- 📆 March 30, 2023: Trump's indictment is announced. The former president becomes the GOP leader over Ron DeSantis.
- 📆 March 24, 2023: DeSantis briefly reclaims the lead over Trump as the Republican betting favorite heading into the spring.
- 📆 February 23, 2023: DeSantis slips behind Trump as the betting favorite heading into the spring, among Republicans.
- 📆 November 23, 2022: Ron DeSantis becomes the 2024 betting favorite following the midterms elections.
- 📆 November 15, 2022: Trump announces he's running for president in 2024.
- 📆 November 4, 2022: Trump's 2024 odds continue to shorten as rumors emerge DeSantis will not challenge him for the nomination and instead wait till 2028.
- 📆 October 2022: Donald Trump re-takes his lead as the betting favorite thanks to the expectation his infamous Twitter account will be re-activated.
- 📆 September 2022: Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump are now co-favorites at +333 (22.% Chance).
- 📆 July 2022: Trump takes back the top spot in terms of favorites.
- 📆 June 2022: Ron DeSantis becomes the betting favorite for 2024.
- 📆 May 2022: DeSantis 2024 presidential odds shifted to push him above President Biden and into the top-two 2024 favorites.
- 📆 January 2022: After opening behind VP Harris, DeSantis saw his odds shorten and Harris' odds lengthen, which pushed DeSantis into the third favorite spot and the current VP into the fourth spot.
Ron DeSantis has held strong 2024 odds all year despite remaining mostly mum on whether he was running for the first six months of 2023.
What are Ron DeSantis Chances to be President in 2028 & 2033?
Ladbrokes offers a unique betting market for Ron DeSantis specifically, which implies DeSantis has a 7.7% chance to be President in 2028 and 2032. In order for this bet to cash in, however, Trump would have to win in 2024, followed by DeSantis victories in the following two elections.
Is Ron DeSantis Running for President?
Yes, Ron DeSantis is running for President in 2024. Bookmakers, political analysts, national polling, and DeSantis supporters all suggest the current Governor of Florida has the best chance of beating Trump should someone challenge the former President in 2024.
DeSantis recently released a new book titled, "The Courage To Be Free," which quickly became a New York Times bestseller and underscores many of his political stances. Before officially announcing his candidacy for the 2024 Presidential Election, DeSantis embarked on a nationwide tour with GOP activists, seemingly to boost his nationwide profile as well as promote his new book. He also made diplomatic appearances in Japan, South Korea, Israel, and Britain.
DeSantis won re-election against Crist for a second term as Florida Governor in November 2022.
Who will be Ron DeSantis' Running Mate in 2024?
If you are taking the bookmakers' word for it, the most likely running mate for DeSantis is a two-way tie between GOP Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley. They both have +350 odds to be named the GOP VP candidate (22.2% implied probability).
Lake and Haley, who is running a 2024 Presidential campaign of her own against DeSantis and Trump, overtook South Dakota governor Kristi Noem as the most likely picks in recent months. Oddsmakers in the UK are also eyeing New York Rep. Elise Stefanik as a viable VP pick for the first time.
Latest 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee Odds
Ron DeSantis will need to secure the Republican nomination in order to solidify his path to the Presidency. As expected, the 2024 Republican nominee odds mirror the top of the overall election winner market with Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis sitting as the top 2 favorites.
Ron DeSantis odds to be the next Republican nominee are 11 to 4 (+275), which equates to an implied probability of 26.7% and places him as the second favorite to represent the GOP in 2024. Donald Trump is the favorite to be the next Republican nominee at 1 to 2 (-200), an implied probability of 66.7%.
Behind Trump and DeSantis, the GOP has a significant drop-off in national prominence and the Republican nominee odds reflect such.
Former Vice President Mike Pence's odds to be the next GOP nominee are 33 to 1 (+3300), which carries an implied probability of 2.9%, while Nikki Haley is 22 to 1 (+2200) to win the party's nomination in 2024 (implied probability of 4.3%).
2024 Republican VP Nominee Odds
Here are the current odds for the 2024 Republican Vice President Nomination:
Nikki Haley (7/2) is currently the favorite to become the Republican nominee for Vice President. While Haley has announced her own campaign for President, she is unlikely to win the nomination and trails both Trump and DeSantis by a considerable margin.
Haley was nominated and served as the US Ambassador to the United Nations. She was confirmed by a 96-4 Senate vote on January 24, 2017, and was officially sworn in by VP Mike Pence on January 25, 2017. Haley officially left her position as U.N. Ambassador on December 31, 2018, and bookmakers expect her to be a strong candidate for Trump's next VP due to their previous working relationship in the Trump administration.
Kari Lake (7/2) and Marjorie Taylor Greene (10/1) are also candidates to watch. Both have made headlines as Trump loyalists and leaders of the MAGA Freedom Caucus. Although Lake and Greene do not have the same legislative resume that Nikki Haley has, their popularity within the MAGA base could lead to one of the two becoming the Republican candidate for VP.
Longshots to watch include former Florida Governor and current Florida Senator, Rick Scott (50/1), NFL Hall of Famer and Colorado head coach, Deion Sanders (100/1), and former Speaker of the House, Paul Ryan (100/1). Dr. Mehmet Oz and Herschel Walker are each listed at 200/1 after losing their 2022 Senate campaigns.
DeSantis Odds to be Vice President in 2024
Another unique betting market Ladbrokes offers for Ron DeSantis specifically is his odds to be Vice President in 2024. This is not contingent on who his running mate is and while it is unlikely, the possibility that he joins forces with Trump can't be ruled out. Nonetheless, regardless of who is on the Presidential ticket, Ron DeSantis has 100 to 1 odds to be the Vice President nominee in 2024, which implies a 1% chance.
Deion Sanders Joins List of Potential VPs
On May 4, 2023, Ladbrokes added Deion Sanders to the list of odds to be the next Republican VP Nominee. Although Sanders recently accepted the head coaching position at the University of Colorado, where his son is set to be the starting QB this upcoming season, rumors are swirling Trump could turn to the high profile Sanders to be his running-mate.
Deion Sanders is currently 100/1 to be the GOP's VP nominee in 2024. The betting market does not directly tie Sanders to Trump but it's hard to imagine any other potential candidates considering the former NFL-star. Trump will also struggle to get traditional politician to join his ticket so a celerity like Sanders isn't out the question.
Ron DeSantis FAQs
Yes, Ron DeSantis filed to run for President on May 24 and announced his campaign in 2024 on Twitter Spaces with Elon Musk. Speculation around a presidential campaign for Ron DeSantis has been circulating since 2021 and he projects to be the No. 1 GOP challenger to Trump in 2024.
Ron DeSantis' odds to become the 2024 President are +550, which places as third, behind current President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. DeSantis' odds translate to a 15.4% chance for the current Florida Governor to become the next President of the United States.
Ron DeSantis hasn't announced his running mate yet, but oddsmakers have the next GOP VP candidate as a tie between former Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, both at +350 odds. That translates to a 22.2% implied probability for both politicians.
The current favorite, according to Ladbrokes in the UK, is President Joe Biden. He leads Presidential candidates' odds with +150 (implied probability of 40%). Florida governor Ron DeSantis sits in third place (+550) right now behind former President Donald Trump (+250).
Author
Craig Cummings is the lead political betting analyst for FloridaBet.com after covering political betting odds for almost a decade with a focus on American politics.
