What Are the Jaguars Playoff Chances?
The Jaguars' playoff chances are 37%, per DraftKings Sportsbook. These odds align with most sportsbooks such as Hard Rock Bet. We expect Jacksonville's chances to increase once the season gets underway.
In the table below, you can find the Jags' playoff chances, as well as the team's chances to win the Super Bowl, AFC, and AFC South. All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
| 💪 Chance to Make Playoffs | 37.0% (+170) |
| 🚫 Chance to Miss Playoffs | 67.7% (-210) |
| ⭐ Chance to win AFC South | 26.3% (+280) |
| 👑 Chance to Win AFC Championship | 2.2% (+4500) |
| 🏆 Chance to Win Super Bowl 60 | 0.9% (+10000) |
| ✅ Last Verified | August 2025 |
To calculate the Jags' implied probability, we converted the odds given by the top sportsbooks into a percentage. This is a helpful way to better understand the odds and gives us a detailed outline of their playoff chances.
The Jaguars believe they have the pieces to make a run this season, but it all hinges on how Trevor Lawrence bounces back and how quickly rookie Travis Hunter adjusts to the NFL. Lawrence enters the year with the fourth-shortest odds to win Comeback Player of the Year. Rookie Travis Hunter has a 19.1% chance of winning either OROY or DROY based on odds at DraftKings.
Jacksonville is considered a long shot to win Super Bowl 60 at +10000, and their odds to make the playoffs sit at +170. The Jags are +280 to win the AFC South, where they’ll have to battle a rising Texans squad and a tough Colts defense. It’s an uphill climb in a loaded AFC, but the front office was aggressive this offseason, building around its veteran core.
Jacksonville Jaguars 2025 Schedule and Betting Lines
The Jaguars open the season as 3-point favorites against the Panthers in Week 1. It’s a chance to set the tone early. In Week 7, they head overseas to face the Rams in London. Jacksonville gets a well-timed break right after, with their bye coming in Week 8.
| Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 vs. Carolina Panthers | JAX -3 ML -162 | TBD |
| Week 2 @ Cincinnati Bengals | JAX +5.5 ML +195 | TBD |
| Week 3 vs. Houston Texans | JAX +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 4 @ San Francisco 49ers | JAX +5.5 ML +180 | TBD |
| Week 5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs | JAX +4.5 ML +180 | TBD |
| Week 6 vs. Seattle Seahawks | JAX -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 7 vs. Los Angeles Rams | JAX +3.5 ML +145 | TBD |
| Week 8 BYE WEEK | -- | -- |
| Week 9 @ Las Vegas Raiders | JAX +1.5 ML +102 | TBD |
| Week 10 @ Houston Texans | JAX +3.5 ML +145 | TBD |
| Week 11 vs. Los Angeles Chargers | JAX +1.5 ML 102 | TBD |
| Week 12 @ Arizona Cardinals | JAX +3 ML +130 | TBD |
| Week 13 @ Tennessee Titans | JAX -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 14 vs. Indianapolis Colts | JAX -3 ML -162 | TBD |
| Week 15 vs. New York Jets | JAX -4.5 ML -198 | TBD |
| Week 16 @ Denver Broncos | JAX +5.5 ML +180 | TBD |
| Week 17 @ Indianapolis Colts | JAX +1.5 ML +100 | TBD |
| Week 18 vs. Tennessee Titans | JAX -4.5 ML -198 | TBD |
The Jaguars have high hopes for a rebound season. Now, the only question is: can they pull it off, and what will Trevor Lawrence and Travis Hunter look like leading the way? Their success could be the difference between another lost year and a shot at the playoffs.
Do the Jaguars Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
The Jaguars currently have a 37.0% chance of making the playoffs, according to the latest odds. Right now, optimism is limited, but that could change fast if Jacksonville gets off to a strong start. The season kicks off at home against the Panthers in Week 1, followed by a tough road trip to face the Bengals in Cincinnati in Week 2. Their first divisional test comes in Week 3 when they host the Houston Texans.
Are the Jaguars Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Jaguars aren’t out of the playoff picture yet. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Jacksonville has a 67.7% chance of missing the postseason. With their last playoff appearance coming in 2022, this season will be a crucial test to see if they can return to contention. We won’t know for sure who will make the playoffs until later in the year, but the Jaguars will be fighting hard to prove they belong.
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances: Offseason Updates August 2025
The Jaguars are trending in the right direction after decades of underwhelming results. Below you'll find some key organizational updates that could impact the Jaguars' upcoming season.
- 📆 August 27: The Jags acquire WR Tim Patrick from Detroit in exchange for a 2026 sixth-round draft pick.
- 📆 August 19: RB Kevin Harris signs with Jacksonville.
- 📆 August 18: Jacksonville trades C Luke Fortner to New Orleans for DT Khalen Saunders.
- 📆 August 4: The Jags sign DL Austin Johnson.
- 📆 June 4: The Jaguars sign OLB Dennis Gardeck and DE Dawuane Smoot.
- 📆 May 8: Jacksonville releases WR Gabe Davis.
- 📆 April 24: The Jaguars select WR/CB Travis Hunter with the second-overall pick, giving the Jags the first two-way player since Deion Sanders dominated the league in the 1990s.
- 📆 March 19: Jacksonville signs OL Fred Johnson.
- 📆 March 11: The Jaguars trade WR Christian Kirk to the Houston Texans in exchange for a 2026 seventh-round pick.
- 📆 March 11: Jacksonville signs CB Jourdan Lewis, TE Johnny Mundt, S Eric Murray, WR Dyami Brown, OL Patrick Mekari, OT Chuma Edoga, and C Robert Hainsey.
- 📆 January 18: The Jaguars name Liam Coen as their new head coach.
If you want to be kept in the loop on all the latest and greatest Jaguars news, bookmark this page.
Key Contributors Toward Jaguars Playoff Chances
The Jaguars have a new coaching staff and an upgraded roster for the 2025 season. Jacksonville is projected to be a much better team, with an improved win total and the potential to be a serious playoff contender. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence is expected to take a step forward after the team added new offensive weapons, including Dyami Brown and rookie Travis Hunter. With Travis Etienne Jr. bolstering the run game, Jacksonville should have a diverse offense capable of spreading the ball around.
Defensively, the Jaguars are still a work in progress, but the additions of veterans Jourdan Lewis and Eric Murray bring promising potential. The secondary is expected to improve, and a new defensive coordinator will introduce fresh schemes that could turn the defense into a more aggressive unit this season. If the defense takes that step, it could be another key factor in Jacksonville’s push toward the playoffs.
🗣️ Jacksonville Jaguars Depth Chart
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Picture and Predictions
The Jacksonville Jaguars find themselves in a rebuild. They’ve got a new head coach and some fresh faces, but things are looking up for the Jags in 2025. The chemistry between players and coaches seems to be clicking, and that could make a big difference on the field. Still, the roster will need to be strong and consistent enough to handle some of the toughest teams in the NFL, especially in a loaded AFC with the Bills, Bengals, Chiefs, and Ravens leading the way year after year.
The AFC South isn't the toughest division in the league, and with a relatively easy schedule, the Jags could be heading to the playoffs this season. Jacksonville’s odds to make the postseason sit at +170, reflecting some cautious optimism.
👉 AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Texans Odds
Where Can I Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars to Make the Playoffs?
Florida sports fans got unexpected news on November 7, 2023, when Hard Rock Bet announced they would be re-launching their betting platform in what they called an "early access period" before fully rolling out one month later. Due to the Seminole Tribe's exclusive compact, Hard Rock Bet is the sole sportsbook in Florida. Betting is available online through the Hard Rock Bet app or in person at one of the Seminole Tribe-owned casinos throughout the state. You must be 21 years old or older to legally bet on sports in Florida.
👉 AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Colts Odds
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs FAQs
The Jaguars have a 37.0% chance of making the NFL playoffs. Currently, oddsmakers are not high on the Jaguars, but that can always change if they can establish some wins early, especially against talented teams. A strong start could shift public perception and betting odds in their favor as the season progresses.
No, the Jaguars are not out of the playoffs as the season has not started. But they failed to make the playoffs last season and will look to rectify that this season as they have a fresh start with a fully healthy Trevor Lawrence. Fans will be watching closely to see if the team can deliver.
Yes, the Jaguars have a 37.0% chance to secure a playoff spot, as their poor 2024 campaign has soured oddsmakers' opinions of their projected success. They can change their fortunes by establishing a good start in 2025. Jacksonville has a 67.7% chance of missing the playoffs.
Author
Beau Adams is a tried-and-true disabled NFL enthusiast, Notre Dame alum, and ardent Jaguars’ aficionado with a deep passion for obscure statistical analysis. He'll use his love for the Jags and background in analytics as a betting expert for FloridaBet.com throughout the NFL season.
