What Are the Jaguars Playoff Chances?
The Jaguars' playoff chances are 40.0%, per DraftKings Sportsbook. These odds align with most sportsbooks such as Hard Rock Bet. We expect Jacksonville's chances to fluctuate once the season gets further underway.
In the table below, you can find the Jags' playoff chances, as well as the team's chances to win the Super Bowl, AFC, and AFC South. All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
| 💪 Chance to Make Playoffs | 40.0% (+150) |
| 🚫 Chance to Miss Playoffs | 64.3% (-180) |
| ⭐ Chance to win AFC South | 33.3% (+650) |
| 👑 Chance to Win AFC Championship | 1.8% (+5500) |
| 🏆 Chance to Win Super Bowl 60 | 0.8% (+13000) |
| ✅ Last Verified | November 2025 |
To calculate the Jags' implied probability, we converted the odds given by the top sportsbooks into a percentage. This is a helpful way to better understand the odds and gives us a detailed outline of their playoff chances.
The Jaguars believe they have the pieces to make a run this season, but it all hinges on how effectively Trevor Lawrence leads the offense and how quickly the rookies adjust to the NFL. Lawrence has +4000 odds to win Comeback Player of the Year.
Jacksonville is considered a long shot to win Super Bowl 60 at +13000, and their playoff odds sit at +150. The Jags are +650 to win the AFC South, where they’ll have to battle a rising Texans team and a tough Colts squad. It’s an uphill climb in a loaded AFC, but the front office was aggressive this offseason, building around its veteran core and hoping it pays off.
Jacksonville Jaguars 2025 Schedule and Betting Lines
The Jaguars headed overseas to face the Rams in London in Week 7 before getting a well-timed break with their bye in Week 8. Jacksonville went back on the road in Week 10, losing to the Texans. They return home in Week 11 to host the Chargers.
| Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 vs. Carolina Panthers | JAX -3.5 ML -198 | W 26-10 |
| Week 2 @ Cincinnati Bengals | JAX +1.5 ML -112 | L 31-27 |
| Week 3 vs. Houston Texans | JAX -1.5 ML -125 | W 17-10 |
| Week 4 @ San Francisco 49ers | JAX +3.5 ML +154 | W 26-21 |
| Week 5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs | JAX +3.5 ML +154 | W 31-28 |
| Week 6 vs. Seattle Seahawks | JAX -1.5 ML -120 | L 20-12 |
| Week 7 vs. Los Angeles Rams | JAX +3, ML +140 | L 35-7 |
| Week 8 BYE WEEK | -- | -- |
| Week 9 @ Las Vegas Raiders | JAX -3, ML -155 | W 30-29/OT |
| Week 10 @ Houston Texans | JAX -1.5 ML -122 | L 29-36 |
| Week 11 vs. Los Angeles Chargers | JAX +3 ML +124 | TBD |
| Week 12 @ Arizona Cardinals | JAX +3 ML +130 | TBD |
| Week 13 @ Tennessee Titans | JAX -1.5 ML -120 | TBD |
| Week 14 vs. Indianapolis Colts | JAX -3 ML -162 | TBD |
| Week 15 vs. New York Jets | JAX -4.5 ML -198 | TBD |
| Week 16 @ Denver Broncos | JAX +5.5 ML +180 | TBD |
| Week 17 @ Indianapolis Colts | JAX +1.5 ML +100 | TBD |
| Week 18 vs. Tennessee Titans | JAX -4.5 ML -198 | TBD |
The Jaguars have high hopes for a rebound season. Now, the only question is: can they pull it off, and what will Trevor Lawrence look like in the second half of the season? Their success could be the difference between another lost year and a shot at the playoffs.
Do the Jaguars Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
The Jaguars currently have a 40.0% chance to make the playoffs, according to the latest odds. Optimism is high in Jacksonville after a strong start to the season. The team opened with a home win over the Panthers in Week 1, followed by a road loss to the Bengals in Week 2. They bounced back with a divisional win over the Texans in Week 3 and added a statement victory against the Chiefs in Week 5. After back-to-back losses, Jacksonville defeated the Raiders coming out of its Week 8 bye.
Are the Jaguars Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Jaguars aren’t out of the playoff picture yet. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Jacksonville has a 64.3% chance of missing the postseason. With their last playoff appearance coming in 2022, this season will be a crucial test to see if they can return to contention. We won’t know for sure who will make the playoffs until later in the year, but the Jaguars will be fighting hard to prove they belong.
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances: Offseason Updates November 2025
The Jaguars are trending in the right direction after decades of underwhelming results. Below you'll find some key organizational updates that could impact the Jaguars' upcoming season.
- 📆 November 4: The Jaguars acquire WR Jakobi Meyers from Las Vegas in exchange for a 2026 fourth-round and a 2026 sixth-round pick.
- 📆 October 7: Jacksonville places TE Brenton Strange on injured reserve.
- 📆 September 17: The Jags place DT Vernon Broughton on injured reserve.
- 📆 September 9: Jacksonville trade RB Tank Bigsby to Philadelphia in exchange for a 2026 fifth and sixth-round draft pick and agreed to terms with RB Cody Schrader.
- 📆 August 27: The Jags acquire WR Tim Patrick from Detroit in exchange for a 2026 sixth-round draft pick.
- 📆 August 19: RB Kevin Harris signs with Jacksonville.
- 📆 August 18: Jacksonville trades C Luke Fortner to New Orleans for DT Khalen Saunders.
- 📆 August 4: The Jags sign DL Austin Johnson.
- 📆 June 4: The Jaguars sign OLB Dennis Gardeck and DE Dawuane Smoot.
- 📆 May 8: Jacksonville releases WR Gabe Davis.
- 📆 April 24: The Jaguars select WR/CB Travis Hunter with the second-overall pick, giving the Jags the first two-way player since Deion Sanders dominated the league in the 1990s.
- 📆 March 19: Jacksonville signs OL Fred Johnson.
- 📆 March 11: The Jaguars trade WR Christian Kirk to the Houston Texans in exchange for a 2026 seventh-round pick.
- 📆 March 11: Jacksonville signs CB Jourdan Lewis, TE Johnny Mundt, S Eric Murray, WR Dyami Brown, OL Patrick Mekari, OT Chuma Edoga, and C Robert Hainsey.
- 📆 January 18: The Jaguars name Liam Coen as their new head coach.
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Key Contributors Toward Jaguars Playoff Chances
The Jaguars have a new coaching staff and an upgraded roster for the 2025 season. Jacksonville looks like a much-improved team, sitting second in the AFC South with the potential to be a serious playoff contender. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has taken a step forward after the team added new offensive weapons, including Dyami Brown. With Travis Etienne Jr. powering the run game, Jacksonville features a balanced offense capable of spreading the ball around.
Defensively, the Jaguars are still a work in progress, but the additions of veterans Jourdan Lewis and Eric Murray bring promising potential. The secondary has improved, and a new defensive coordinator has introduced fresh schemes that has turned the defense into a more aggressive unit this season. If the defense continues to improve, it could be another key factor in Jacksonville’s push toward the playoffs.
🗣️ Jacksonville Jaguars Depth Chart
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Picture and Predictions
The Jacksonville Jaguars find themselves in a rebuild. They’ve got a new head coach and some fresh faces, but things are looking up for the Jags in 2025. The chemistry between players and coaches seems to be clicking, and that could make a big difference on the field. Still, the roster needs to remain strong and consistent enough to handle some of the toughest teams in the NFL, especially in a loaded AFC with the Bills, Colts, and Chiefs leading the way this season.
The AFC South isn't the toughest division in the league, and with a relatively easy schedule, the Jags could be heading to the playoffs this season. Jacksonville’s odds to make the postseason sit at +150, reflecting some cautious optimism.
👉 AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Texans Odds
Where Can I Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars to Make the Playoffs?
Florida sports fans got unexpected news on November 7, 2023, when Hard Rock Bet announced they would be re-launching their betting platform in what they called an "early access period" before fully rolling out one month later. Due to the Seminole Tribe's exclusive compact, Hard Rock Bet is the sole sportsbook in Florida. Betting is available online through the Hard Rock Bet app or in person at one of the Seminole Tribe-owned casinos throughout the state. You must be 21 years old or older to legally bet on sports in Florida.
👉 AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Colts Odds
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs FAQs
The Jaguars have a 40.0% chance of making the NFL playoffs. Oddsmakers currently believe Jacksonville can be a playoff contender. Odds will shift based on wins and losses, key injuries, and the team’s overall performance as the season progresses, reflecting how each factor impacts their playoff chances.
No, the Jaguars are not out of the playoffs as the season is only in Week 11. But they failed to make the playoffs last season and will look to rectify that this season as they have a fresh start with a fully healthy Trevor Lawrence. Fans will be watching closely to see if the team can deliver.
Yes, the Jaguars have a 40.0% chance to secure a playoff spot with a 5-4 record and sitting in second in the division.On the flip side, Jacksonville has a 64.3% chance of missing the playoffs this season.
Author
Beau Adams is a tried-and-true disabled NFL enthusiast, Notre Dame alum, and ardent Jaguars’ aficionado with a deep passion for obscure statistical analysis. He'll use his love for the Jags and background in analytics as a betting expert for FloridaBet.com throughout the NFL season.
