What Are the Jaguars Playoff Chances?
The Jaguars' playoff chances are off the board since they are already in the playoffs. But their odds to win the Super Bowl are still available on sportsbooks such as Hard Rock Bet.
In the table below, you can find the Jags' chances to win the Super Bow and AFC. All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
| 👑 Chance to Win AFC Championship | 15.4% (+550) |
| 🏆 Chance to Win Super Bowl 60 | 7.1% (+1300) |
| ✅ Last Verified | January 2026 |
To calculate the Jags' implied probability, we converted the odds given by the top sportsbooks into a percentage. This is a helpful way to better understand the odds and gives us a detailed outline of their playoff chances.
The Jaguars have far surpassed expectations in a highly competitive conference. The Jacksonville Jaguars, who finished the regular season 13-4, will host the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Wild Card round. Jacksonville boasts a high-powered defense, while Buffalo finished 12-5 behind quarterback Josh Allen and one of the league’s top-ranked offenses.
Jacksonville Jaguars 2025 Schedule and Betting Lines
The Jaguars headed overseas to face the Rams in London in Week 7 before getting a well-timed break with their bye in Week 8. They finished the regular season at home with a win against the Titans.
| Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 vs. Carolina Panthers | JAX -3.5 ML -198 | W 26-10 |
| Week 2 @ Cincinnati Bengals | JAX +1.5 ML -112 | L 31-27 |
| Week 3 vs. Houston Texans | JAX -1.5 ML -125 | W 17-10 |
| Week 4 @ San Francisco 49ers | JAX +3.5 ML +154 | W 26-21 |
| Week 5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs | JAX +3.5 ML +154 | W 31-28 |
| Week 6 vs. Seattle Seahawks | JAX -1.5 ML -120 | L 20-12 |
| Week 7 vs. Los Angeles Rams | JAX +3 ML +140 | L 35-7 |
| Week 8 BYE WEEK | -- | -- |
| Week 9 @ Las Vegas Raiders | JAX -3 ML -155 | W 30-29/OT |
| Week 10 @ Houston Texans | JAX -1.5 ML -122 | L 29-36 |
| Week 11 vs. Los Angeles Chargers | JAX +3 ML +124 | W 35-6 |
| Week 12 @ Arizona Cardinals | JAX -2.5 ML -148 | W 27-24 |
| Week 13 @ Tennessee Titans | JAX -6.5 ML -265 | W 25-3 |
| Week 14 vs. Indianapolis Colts | JAX +1.5 ML +105 | W 36-19 |
| Week 15 vs. New York Jets | JAX -13.5 ML -850 | W 48-20 |
| Week 16 @ Denver Broncos | JAX +3 ML +124 | W 34-20 |
| Week 17 @ Indianapolis Colts | JAX +1.5 ML +100 | W 23-17 |
| Week 18 vs. Tennessee Titans | JAX -13.5 ML -900 | W 41-7 |
The Jaguars had high hopes for a rebound season, and they have delivered. Now, the only question is whether they can win their first-ever Super Bowl. and what Trevor Lawrence will look like in the playoffs. His success could be the difference between another early exit and a shot at a Super Bowl title.
Do the Jaguars Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
The Jacksonville Jaguars have turned the 2025 season into a statement year. The Jaguars secured the division title and will open the playoffs at home, hosting the Buffalo Bills in the Wild Card round on January 11.
Are the Jaguars Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Jaguars are not out of the playoffs. Few expected Jacksonville to be in this position entering the season, but the Jaguars have outperformed projections across the board. Behind consistent, high-level quarterback play and a roster firing on both sides of the ball, Jacksonville has established itself as one of the most reliable teams in the AFC heading into the playoffs.
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances: Offseason Updates January 2026
The Jaguars are trending in the right direction after decades of underwhelming results. Below you'll find some key organizational updates that could impact the Jaguars' season.
- 📆 December 16: The Jaguars sign RB DeeJay Dallas and place LB Jack Kiser on injured reserve.
- 📆 December 15: Jacksonville fires defensive coordinator Steve Wilks.
- 📆 December 6: The Jags activate S Eric Murray from injured reserve.
- 📆 November 22: Jacksonville activates TE Brenton Strange from injured reserve.
- 📆 November 4: The Jaguars acquire WR Jakobi Meyers from Las Vegas in exchange for a 2026 fourth-round and a 2026 sixth-round pick.
- 📆 September 17: The Jags place DT Vernon Broughton on injured reserve.
- 📆 September 9: Jacksonville trade RB Tank Bigsby to Philadelphia in exchange for a 2026 fifth and sixth-round draft pick and agreed to terms with RB Cody Schrader.
- 📆 August 27: The Jags acquire WR Tim Patrick from Detroit in exchange for a 2026 sixth-round draft pick.
- 📆 August 18: Jacksonville trades C Luke Fortner to New Orleans for DT Khalen Saunders.
- 📆 June 4: The Jaguars sign OLB Dennis Gardeck and DE Dawuane Smoot.
- 📆 April 24: Jacksonville selects WR/CB Travis Hunter with the second-overall pick, giving the Jags the first two-way player since Deion Sanders dominated the league in the 1990s.
- 📆 January 18: The Jaguars name Liam Coen as their new head coach.
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Key Contributors Toward Jaguars Playoff Chances
The Jacksonville Jaguars have put together a standout 2025 season, securing a playoff spot late in December and winning the division. Their success has been fueled by an explosive offense led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who is putting together the best year of his career, and a dominant pass rush anchored by Josh Allen and Travon Walker.
On defense, Jacksonville’s edge rushers have been relentless, consistently pressuring opposing quarterbacks and disrupting game plans. With elite play on both sides of the ball, the Jaguars have emerged as one of the toughest teams to beat in the AFC, entering the playoffs with momentum and legitimate championship aspirations.
🗣️ Jacksonville Jaguars Depth Chart
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Picture and Predictions
Jacksonville won the AFC South for the first time since 2022, securing a home game in the Wild Card round. Ahead of kickoff, Jacksonville is a 1.5-point underdog. Against the spread, the Jaguars went 12-5-0 this season, including a 5-4 mark as underdogs of 1.5 points or more, showing they can perform even when the odds aren’t in their favor. This matchup sets up as a compelling clash between two elite AFC teams.
Even though the Jaguars enter the Wild Card game as underdogs, they have a real shot at the upset. Jacksonville will need its elite run defense to contain James Cook, apply pressure to Josh Allen to force mistakes, and win the turnover battle. If Trevor Lawrence and the offense execute at a high level, leveraging home-field advantage and their late-season momentum, the Jaguars have a strong chance to advance.
👉 AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Texans Odds
Where Can I Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars to Make the Playoffs?
Florida sports fans got unexpected news on November 7, 2023, when Hard Rock Bet announced they would be re-launching their betting platform in what they called an "early access period" before fully rolling out one month later. Due to the Seminole Tribe's exclusive compact, Hard Rock Bet is the sole sportsbook in Florida. Betting is available online through the Hard Rock Bet app or in person at one of the Seminole Tribe-owned casinos throughout the state. You must be 21 years old or older to legally bet on sports in Florida.
👉 AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Colts Odds
Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs FAQs
The Jacksonville Jaguars have already clinched a playoff spot with a 13-4 record and the AFC South division title. They will host the Buffalo Bills in the Wild Card game on January 11 and enter as 1.5-point underdogs.
No, the Jaguars are not out of the playoffs. Jacksonville clinched a playoff spot in late December while also securing the AFC South title. The No. 3-seed Jaguars (13–4) will host the No. 6-seed Buffalo Bills (12–5) on January 11.
The Jaguars have already claimed a playoff spot with the division title and a 13-4 record, one of the best in the AFC. Jacksonville heads into the playoffs on an eight-game winning streak and will host the Bills.
Author
Beau Adams is a tried-and-true disabled NFL enthusiast, Notre Dame alum, and ardent Jaguars’ aficionado with a deep passion for obscure statistical analysis. He'll use his love for the Jags and background in analytics as a betting expert for FloridaBet.com throughout the NFL season.
