Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Odds: Who Is Favored To Win This NFC South Rivalry

Fact Checked by Brandon Justice

Key Takeaways

  • The Bucs and the Falcons split their 2023 NFC South matchups this season, separated by only 7 total points.
  • Oct. 22: TB 13 ATL 16
  • Dec. 10: TB 29 ATL 25

The NFC South rivalry between the Bucs and the Falcons has been an epic battle of back-and-forth with an overall record against each other of 31-30 in the Bucs' favor. 

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History of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Games

The Bucs and Falcons have 61 match-ups between the two and have played nearly every year since the Bucs joined the league in 1976, and have played twice a year since 2002 when the NFC South was created. They have never played each other in the playoffs, despite the fact that the NFC South is only one of two divisions in the NFL, since 2002, to have each of the four teams reach the Super Bowl. 

The Bucs have five division titles and six playoff births and the Falcons have four division titles and seven playoff appearances.

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Buccaneers Record vs Falcons

The Bucs and Falcons have played 61 times, the second-most played opponent of the Bucs since their inception. The Bucs have a 31-30 record against the Falcons and have won six of the last eight matchups, and had won six games in a row in the series, until dropping the final game of the 2022 season.

However, this series has been relatively streaky. The Bucs' five-game win streak that ended last season, had just two games between the Falcons' own five-game win streak that went from 2016-2018. There have been one other time, each, that the Bucs and Falcons have won five or more games in a row.

The overall series scoring is close with the Bucs scoring 1361 points to the Falcon 1286 over their 59 matchups.

All-Time Best Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Games

Over the course of their 45-year history of playing each other, the Falcons and Bucs have had some spectacular NFL games.

Game 1: September 18, 2014

The Falcons destroyed the Bucs 56-14 in this game, a game in which Matt Ryan set the franchise record for quarterback rating and completion percentage and Devin Hester set the NFL record for touchdown returns when he returned a 62-yard punt. Ryan's 21-of-24 passing and 286 yards and three touchdowns were one of the most memorable "Thursday Night Football" games of all time.

Game 2: January 8, 2023

Former Bucs quarterback Tom Brady has beaten every NFL team during this illustrious career and up until his very last record season game - had never lost to the Falcons. That all changed when Desmond Riddler threw two touchdowns and the Falcons cruised to a 30-17 victory. Despite the loss, the Bucs still won the division.

Game 3: November 1, 2015

After being down 20-3 in the third quarter, quarterback Matt Ryan led the Falcons to 17 straight points including a touchdown with just seconds remaining in the game, which brought the score to 20-20. The Bucs ended up winning with a field goal in overtime by Connor Barth to win the big division match-up.

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Buccaneers vs Falcons Odds: Who Is Favored To Win?

Currently, the Atlanta Falcons are -1 favorites to win their first match-up of the season, which means the Falcons would need to win by a safety (two points) or more to cover the spread.

With just two points separating the favorite/underdog in this matchup, oddsmakers are expecting a very close game, one that, frankly, could go either way. The implied odds only give the Falcons a 51% chance of winning, which is nearly a coin flip. Both teams were under .500 last season and both teams have questions at quarterback, both starting different quarterbacks than who started the season last year for each team, and each roster is riddled with question marks. This game is a toss-up right now, but once the season starts and we get a better idea of each team - this line could change quickly.

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Latest Buccaneers vs Falcons Odds, Updates, & News

  • 📆 February 1, 2023: Tom Brady, former Tampa Bay Bucs quarterback and future hall of famer, announced his retirement.
  • 📆 March 13, 2023: The Falcons signed the number one available free agent Safety in Jessie Bates to a four-year contract.
  • 📆 March 15, 2023: The Bucs resigned Pro Bowl linebacker Lavonte David to a one-year deal.
  • 📆 April 27, 2023: The Falcons drafted former Texas running back Bijan Robinson with the number eight overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. They also drafted Syracuse Tackle Matthew Bergeron, who will be the teams starting left guard, in the second round.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Spread: What The Spread Tells Us

The spread for the game at -1/+1 means the game is nearly a toss-up and oddsmakers see any result potentially happening. Both the Bucs and the Falcons enter the season with more questions than answers and sportsbooks still have the jury out on their expected performance this season. The Bucs are only favored in one game all season, but they also haven't named a starting quarterback, so that will likely change a few games - potentially, including this one. The Falcons are starting Desmond Riddler at quarterback this season, who started the last few games of the season for Atlanta last season, but was less than impressive. This game is likely one to keep on your radar on adjusted lines as we begin the season in a few weeks.

Buccaneers Falcons Line: What The Moneyline Tells Us

Similar to the spread, the moneyline says this game is a toss-up, with implied odds giving the Falcons a 51% chance to win this game. This game will likely be close and neither team should be expected to be "firing on all cylinders" by game time. The Falcons, while they have the slightly better roster, still need to figure out their passing attack and after going 7-10 last season, have they done enough to drastically improve? While the Bucs have questions all over the team, they still do have two outstanding wide receivers and a relatively strong defense. This game will be close and it will likely come down to which team has figured our their new starting quarterback first.

Tampa Bay Chances To Win vs Atlanta

The Bucs are favored in only one game all season - that is worth mentioning in this article more than once. Does that mean the Bucs will win only one game all season? No probably not. There are just so many questions at quarterback, running back, offensive line, tight end, and defensive line to know what the Bucs will be this year. The Bucs' first few games of the season will be a great barometer for how they match up to the Falcons.

How Tampa Bay Beats Atlanta

The Bucs still have two of the best wide receivers in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin - if quarterback Baker Mayfield can get them the ball - they can still score touchdowns. They had the number two passing offense in the NFL last year. Now, while future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady, did retire, if they can move the ball through the air and improve on their 32nd-ranked rushing attack last year, they have enough on defense to keep Falcons quarterback Desmond Riddler in check.

  • Strength: Wide Reciever
  • Weakness: Running back

How Atlanta Beats Tampa Bay

The Falcons have some talent on offense that can truly make teams sweat playing them. Tight end Kyle Pitts is an athletic freak, rookie running back Bijan Robinson was electric in college, and wide reciever Drake London had a fanstasic rookie season - if quarterback Desmond Riddler can get them the ball. If Riddler connects, the Falcons have the better roster top-to-bottom and can build off their 30-17 win to end last season, particularly because the Falcons have a relatively similar roster and notably had a strong offseason to propel them forward, while Tampa Bay, well, didn't.

  • Strength: Running back and Secondary
  • Weakness: Wide Reciever Depth

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Bucs vs Falcons Prop Bets

As the season approaches the conclusion, let's take a look at a few interesting preseason prop bets for each team. 

Bucs Team Props

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Carolina Panthers On the Road and at Home in the Regular Season | +280
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score 1+ Touchdown in every Regular Season Game | +550
  • Mike Evans To Score 10+ Receiving Touchdowns in the Regular Season | +470
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers To Reach NFC Championship Game | +2600
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score 1+ Passing Touchdown in every Regular Season Game | +6500

Bucs Player Props

  • Richaad White To Score 10+ Rushing Touchdowns in the Regular Season | +340
  • Mike Evans To Score 10+ Receiving Touchdowns in the Regular Season | +470
  • Baker Mayfield to Most Regular Season Passing Touchdown Total | +6000
  • Baker Mayfield to Most Regular Season Interceptions Thrown | +900
  • Mike Evans to Most Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns | +3000

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons FAQ:


Dan Thompson is a Lead Betting Analyst for FloridaBet.com. Dan's unique experience makes him the perfect fit to find the latest storylines and interesting betting angles impacting Florida sports betting.

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