Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances June 2023: Tracking the Bucs Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Wes Roesch
Buccaneers players huddle

Key Takeaways:

  • The Buccaneers playoff chances are 21.3%, so sportsbooks don't have much faith in Tampa Bay this year.
  • That means Tampa Bay has a 78.7% chance to miss the playoffs as it enters 2023 in a rebuild.
  • 2023 will be the team's first year without QB Tom Brady since the 2019 season.

The tides are changing in Tampa Bay despite a recent run of success. With the retirement of future hall of fame quarterback Tom Brady and the firing of offense coordinator Byron Leftwich, what can we expect out of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2023-24?

In this article, we define the Buccaneers playoff chances. These results will be kept up to date as the odds change throughout the offseason and into the 2023-24 NFL season.

What are the Buccaneers Playoff Chances?

The Buccaneers playoff chances are just 21.3%. Below you'll find the current chances of the Bucs to make the playoffs, as well as the Buccaneers Super Bowl odds.

⭐ Bucs Playoff Chances21.3% Chance
β›” Bucs Miss Playoffs78.7% Chance
πŸ‘‘ Bucs Win Super Bowl1% Chance
πŸ† Bucs Win NFC2.17% Chance
πŸ”₯ Bucs Win NFC South10% Chance
πŸ—½ New York Times Postseason SimulatorNot Available Yet
🏈 ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)Not Available Yet
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertJune 8, 2023

We use the latest sportsbook odds to generate the implied probability and calculate the Buccaneers playoff chances. Implied probability is the odds number converted to a percentage which gives the team's current chance to make the playoffs.

The data provided above comes from some of the most credible media outlets. Among them are the New York Times Postseason Simulator and ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), which measures the strength of the team via net points scale and expected point margin vs. average opponent on a neutral field.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances: Key Offseason Updates June 2023

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers appear to be headed for a rebuild season. With too many question marks to answer immediately, it's going to be a long offseason of new plans and making moves in Tampa Bay. Below are the key news items that impact the Buccaneers playoff chances. 

  • πŸ“† April 27-29: Tampa take eight players in the 2023 NFL Draft, including Pittsburgh DT Calijah Kancey in Round 1.
  • πŸ“† March 15: The Bucs sign QB Baker Mayfield to a one-year deal, making him the team's presumed starter.
  • πŸ“† February 28: RB Leonard Fournette is released after spending last season as the starter.
  • πŸ“† February 16: The Buccaneers announce their new offensive coordinator, Dave Canales.
  • πŸ“† February 1: Quarterback Tom Brady announces his retirement from the NFL, this time "for good."

Be sure to bookmark this page and continue to monitor these updates as they will be changing when more breaking news and developments happen surrounding the Bucs.

Where Can I Bet on the Bucs to Make the Playoffs?

You can bet on the Buccaneers to make the playoffs through most major sportsbooks in the US. You must be 21+ and in a state with legal sports betting to place a bet. Unfortunately, Florida does not currently offer legal sports betting. It's best you travel to a state nearby like Mississippi or Tennessee to place a legal bet on the Buccaneers to make the playoffs.

Looking Ahead: Bucs Playoff Picture

The 2023 iteration of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will look quite a bit different than the last three playoff teams. Primarily, the Buccaneers will be looking to replace future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady at the helm. 2021 second-round draft pick Kyle Trask was in the driver’s seat for the position until QB Baker Mayfield was signed in March. Now there's a QB competition in Tampa Bay.

The Bucs will be led by a new offensive coordinator – Dave Canales, the former quarterbacks coach of the Seattle Seahawks. The team's record will likely reflect a rebuild, and while they may not be totally out of potentially making the playoffs, it should not be expected.

Do the Buccaneers Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes. The Buccaneers have a chance to make the playoffs as do all teams before the NFL season begins. There are plenty of concerns the Buccaneers organization needs to address if they want to have a true chance to make the playoffs this year. While going just 8-9 last season, the Buccaneers won the NFC South in a year when the whole division struggled to stay consistent.

While the Buccaneers should not be considered a potential β€œbottom dweller” next season, it is tough to imagine a situation where they can be better with the amount of change they've endured this offseason. Could the division be down again and the Buccaneers sneak in? Sure. Likely? No.

Are the Buccaneers Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Buccaneers are not out of playoffs because the season hasn't kicked off. No team is out of the playoffs just yet. Although no team should be ruled out before the season begins, top sportsbooks like BetMGM are expected to be much lower on the Buccaneers than they were last year.

There will need to be significant moves made by Tampa Bay this offseason if they want to be a playoff contender. Unfortunately, the Buccaneers will most likely find their playoff chances in the middle of the pack at best.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs FAQs


Dan Thompson is a Lead Betting Analyst for FloridaBet.com. Dan's unique experience makes him the perfect fit to find the latest storylines and interesting betting angles impacting Florida sports betting.

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