Todd Bowles Among Top Odds For First NFL Coach Fired in 2023

Todd Bowles Among Top Odds For First NFL Coach Fired in 2023
Fact Checked by Nate Hamilton

The NFL Season kicks off on September 7th with the Detroit Lions visiting the host Kansas City Chiefs as the defending Super Bowl champions look to start their season strong. The Chiefs have been a model of consistency for all of coach Andy Reid’s tenure, one that began in 2013 and has included two Super Bowl victories. 

The Lions haven’t enjoyed the same stability at the head coach position, but with Dan Campbell, they appear locked in at coach for the next while as the boss guided his team to a 9-8 record last season, a big improvement and one that saw the team almost make the playoffs.

Although Florida sports betting is not yet legal, we here at can't stop thinking with a bettor's mindset so, with those two teams and several more seemingly set at coach for the foreseeable future, we decided to take a look at which teams have less stability on the sidelines by looking at the hot seat and developing hypothetical odds on which head coaches will be fired first in the 2023 season.

First NFL Coach to be Fired Odds

TeamCoachOddsPercent Chance
BuccaneersTodd Bowles+50018.2%
RaidersJosh McDaniels+55015.4%
BrownsKevin Stefanski+65013.3%
CommandersRon Rivera+70012.5%
ChargersBrandon Staley+85010.5%
The Field+30025%

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Buccaneers Top Candidate for New Head Coach

To no surprise, most of the coaches on this list are at the helm of teams that don’t project to do very well in 2023. Tampa Bay’s Todd Bowles leads the way with hypothetical odds of +500, and the Buccaneers themselves are longshots to win the Super Bowl, with the third longest odds in the league at +9000 at DraftKings Sportsbook. 

The Buccaneers won a porous NFC South Division with a 8-9 record last season but with Tom Brady now retired, the 2021 Super Bowl victory is a distant memory and Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask are now the best options at QB. Bowles hasn’t had much success at the head coaching position in his career and it would be a minor miracle for him to guide this team to a winning record.

Ron Rivera and Josh McDaniels are in similar spots with the Commanders and the Raiders both expected to be well outside the playoff picture. The teams have been bad for a while now, so at some point change is going to be required and if there are no signs of improvement a move on the sidelines would be no surprise. Both coaches also rank among the five most expected to be fired.

Two teams who are expected to make playoff pushes with coaches on the hot seat are the Browns and Chargers. Brandon Staley has been on the hot seat since their devastating playoff loss to the Jaguars last season, one that came with plenty of criticism for the relatively new head coach. If the Chargers sputter to start the year, Staley's seat will be the hottest place in the entire league. 

The Browns had yet another disappointing year in 2022, going 7-10 in Kevan Stefanski’s third season as coach. The Browns haven’t finished better than third in the division since 2007, and their only playoff appearance in that time came in Stefanski’s first season, where they lost in the divisional round after upsetting the Steelers in the Wild Card round. The goodwill from that first season has run out for Stefanski, and another poor season will almost surely result in his dismissal.



Cecil Peters
Cecil Peters
Senior Betting Analyst

Cecil Peters is a Senior Betting Analyst for A professional sports bettor in Canada, Cecil specializes in analyzing the latest odds impacting professional sports, particularly the NHL. He will be providing insight throughout the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

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