Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances: Tracking the Jaguars Playoff Picture

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Jaguars Playoff Chances

Key Takeaways:

  • πŸ“Š The Jaguars' playoff chances are 39.2%, according to odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. 
  • πŸ“ˆ This gives Jacksonville the 10th-longest odds to make the playoffs among all 32 teams.
  • πŸ† The Jags have a 27.8% chance to win the AFC South, making them the second-favorite behind Houston.

The Jaguars endured a disappointing 2024 campaign, finishing the season with a 4-13 record and fourth in the AFC South. All eyes are on Jacksonville after they drafted Travis Hunter second overall in the draft. The Jaguars' roster has improved in the offseason, and the Jags could be a strong playoff contender once the season gets underway. 

Trevor Lawrence and company will kick off the season hosting the Carolina Panthers on September 7. We will be tracking Jacksonville's playoff odds and more for the 2025 season throughout the year.

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What Are the Jaguars Playoff Chances?

The Jaguars' playoff chances are 39.2%, per DraftKings Sportsbook. These odds align with most sportsbooks such as Hard Rock Bet. We expect Jacksonville's chances to increase once the season gets underway.

In the table below, you can find the Jags' playoff chances, as well as the team's chances to win the Super Bowl, AFC, and AFC South. All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. 

πŸ’ͺ Chance to Make Playoffs39.2% (+155)
🚫 Chance to Miss Playoffs65.5% (-190)
⭐ Chance to win AFC South27.8% (+260)
πŸ‘‘ Chance to Win AFC Championship2.4% (+4000)
πŸ† Chance to Win Super Bowl 601.2% (+8000)
βœ… Last Verified June 2, 2025

To calculate the Jags' implied probability, we converted the odds given by the top sportsbooks into a percentage. This is a helpful way to better understand the odds and gives us a detailed outline of their playoff chances.

The Jaguars believe they have the tools to make a run this season. It will all depend on Trevor Lawrence's health and how Travis Hunter performs in the NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars 2025 Schedule and Betting Lines

The Jaguars are 2.5-point favorites in their Week 1 matchup against the Panthers. Jacksonville will travel to London in Week 7 to take on the Los Angeles Rams, followed by their bye in Week 8.

WeekLineResult
Week 1 vs. Carolina Panthers

JAX -2.5 ML -135

TBD

Week 2 @ Cincinnati Bengals

JAX +5.5 ML +180

TBD

Week 3 vs. Houston Texans 

JAX +1.5 ML +100

TBD

Week 4 @ San Francisco 49ers

JAX +5.5 ML +180

TBD

Week 5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

JAX +4.5 ML +180

TBD

Week 6 vs. Seattle Seahawks 

JAX -1.5 ML -120

TBD

Week 7 vs. Los Angeles Rams

JAX +3.5 ML +145

TBD

Week 8 BYE WEEK

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Week 9 @ Las Vegas Raiders

JAX +1.5 ML +102

TBD

Week 10 @ Houston Texans

JAX +3.5 ML +145

TBD

Week 11 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

JAX +1.5 ML 102

TBD

Week 12 @ Arizona Cardinals

JAX +3 ML +130

TBD

Week 13 @ Tennessee Titans

JAX -1.5 ML -120

TBD

Week 14 vs. Indianapolis Colts

JAX -3 ML -162

TBD

Week 15 vs. New York Jets

JAX -4.5 ML -198

TBD

Week 16 @ Denver Broncos

JAX +5.5 ML +180

TBD

Week 17 @ Indianapolis Colts

JAX +1.5 ML +100

TBD

Week 18 vs. Tennessee Titans

JAX -4.5 ML -198

TBD

The Jaguars have high hopes for a rebound season. Now, the only question is, can they do it, and what will Lawrence and Hunter be like? 

Do the Jaguars Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Jaguars have a 39.2% chance of making the playoffs. So far, there isn't much optimism for the Jaguars, but all that could change if they can get off to a good start in 2025. Jacksonville hosts the Panthers in Week 1 and travels to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals in Week 2. The Jags' first divisional matchup is in Week 3 when they host the Houston Texans.

Are the Jaguars Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Jaguars are not out of the playoffs. Based on odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, Jacksonville has a 65.5% chance of missing the postseason. We will not know until later in the season who will be contending for a playoff spot. The Jaguars have not made the playoffs since 2022.

Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances: Offseason Updates July 2025

The Jaguars are trending in the right direction after decades of underwhelming results. Below you'll find some key organizational updates that could impact the Jaguars' upcoming season.

  • πŸ“† May 14, 2025: The Jaguars sign TE Quintin Morris.
  • πŸ“† May 8, 2025: Jacksonville releases WR Gabe Davis.
  • πŸ“† April 25, 2025: The Jaguars select WR/CB Travis Hunter with the second-overall pick, giving the Jags the first two-way player since Deion Sanders dominated the league in the 1990s.
  • πŸ“† April 25, 2025: The Jaguars sign OL Cole Van Lanen.
  • πŸ“† March 19, 2025: Jacksonville signs OL Fred Johnson.
  • πŸ“† March 11, 2025: The Jaguars trade WR Christian Kirk to the Houston Texans in exchange for a 2026 seventh-round pick.
  • πŸ“† March 11, 2025: Jacksonville signs CB Jourdan Lewis, TE Johnny Mundt, S Eric Murray,  WR Dyami Brown, OL Patrick Mekari, OT Chuma Edoga, and C Robert Hainsey.
  • πŸ“† January 18, 2025: The Jaguars name Liam Coen as their new head coach. 

If you want to be kept in the loop on all the latest and greatest Jaguars news, bookmark this page.

Key Contributors Toward Jaguars Playoff Chances

The Jaguars have a new coaching staff and an upgraded roster in the 2025 season. Jacksonville is projected to be a much better team with an improved win total and the possibility of being a playoff contender. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence is expected to take a step forward after the Jags added new offensive weapons, including rookies Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter. With Travis Etienne bolstering the run game, Jacksonville should have a diverse offense with the ability to spread the ball around.

Defensively, the Jaguars are a work in progress, but the additions of veterans Jordan Lewis and Eric Murray add potential. The secondary is expected to be better, and a new defensive coordinator will bring new schemes to the defense, which could lead them to a more aggressive unit this season.

πŸ—£οΈ Jacksonville Jaguars Depth Chart

Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Picture and Predictions

The Jacksonville Jaguars find themselves in a rebuild. They have a new head coach and a handful of new players, but things look promising for the Jags in 2025. Jacksonville could have the recipe for success with the chemistry between players and coaches expected to be strong. This will only enhance the team's on-field performance.

The AFC South isn't the toughest division in the league, and with a relatively easy schedule, the Jags could be heading to the playoffs this season. It all starts in Week 1 against the Carolina Panthers. 

πŸ‘‰ AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Texans Odds

Where Can I Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars to Make the Playoffs?

Florida sports fans got unexpected news on November 7, 2023, when Hard Rock Bet announced they would be re-launching their betting platform in what they called an "early access period" before fully rolling out one month later. Due to the Seminole Tribe's exclusive compact, Hard Rock Bet is the sole sportsbook in Florida. Betting is available online through the Hard Rock Bet app or in person at one of the Seminole Tribe-owned casinos throughout the state. You must be 21 years old or older to legally bet on sports in Florida.

πŸ‘‰ AFC South Breakdown: Jaguars vs Colts Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs FAQs

Author

Beau Adams

Beau Adams is a tried-and-true disabled NFL enthusiast, Notre Dame alum, and ardent Jaguars’ aficionado with a deep passion for obscure statistical analysis. He'll use his love for the Jags and background in analytics as a betting expert for FloridaBet.com throughout the NFL season.

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